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Philadelphia Flyers v Carolina Hurricanes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Flyers (Local)
Prediction 44.76%2.23fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.698%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.73%44.72%44.79%45.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2050.00%46.84%46.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Carolina Hurricanes (Visit)
Prediction 55.24%1.81fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -3.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.43%55.28%55.21%56.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.721.731.7661.35%58.01%57.80%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Flyers (Local): 44.76%; Carolina Hurricanes (Visit): 55.24%. For Philadelphia Flyers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -1.54%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.54%E -0.698%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.53%E -3.24%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 22:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.54%E -0.698%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.53%E -3.24%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.54%E -0.698%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.53%E -3.24%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.98%E -0.906%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.77%E -1.57%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.98%E -2.90%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.98%E -2.90%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -2.88%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -3.32%E -1.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -2.88%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -3.32%E -1.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.88%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.43%E -2.56%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 22:47 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.33%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.43%E -2.56%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 22:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.77%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.77%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.77%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.77%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 22:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.77%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.43%E -2.56%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.77%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.43%E -2.56%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.77%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.53%E -3.24%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 22:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.77%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.09%E -3.58%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.77%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.64%E -3.93%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.22%E -1.97%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 22:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.22%E -1.97%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.12%E -2.41%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.32%E -1.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.12%E -2.41%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.98%E -2.90%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.12%E -2.41%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.98%E -2.90%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.12%E -2.41%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.98%E -2.90%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.56%E -2.64%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.43%E -2.56%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.32%E -1.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.32%E -1.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 22:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.32%E -1.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.43%E -2.56%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 21:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.53%E -3.24%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.53%E -3.24%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.09%E -3.58%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.09%E -3.58%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.09%E -3.58%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.09%E -3.58%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -6.46%E -3.09%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -3.32%E -1.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 22:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -9.95%E -6.11%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 22:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69% | 0.3% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 1.5% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.0% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.1% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.95% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.33% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.72% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.82% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.41% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.82% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.41% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.82% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.41% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.76% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.23% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.02% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.20% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.60% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.99% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.99% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.99% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.99% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.90% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88% | 9.2% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.51% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.34% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57% | 11.7% | 2026-10-03 23:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.87% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76% | 12.7% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.95% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.49% | 13.5% | 2026-10-03 22:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.41% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.80% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79% | 14.0% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |