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Philadelphia Flyers v Boston Bruins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Flyers (Local)
Prediction 50.82%1.97fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.993%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.93%51.05%52.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.861.871.9358.48%53.68%53.48%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Bruins (Visit)
Prediction 49.18%2.03fair odd
EV -0.657%
Edge -0.325%
Kelly -0.644%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.26%49.07%48.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.951.952.0255.25%51.35%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Flyers (Local): 50.82%; Boston Bruins (Visit): 49.18%. For Boston Bruins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.02, with an expected value of -0.657%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.92%E -0.993%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.42%E -1.26%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.42%E -1.26%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 19:52 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.44%E -1.81%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.45%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 19:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.95%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.08%E -2.63%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.58%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.46%E -2.37%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.58%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.61%E -1.84%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 19:57 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 19:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 19:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.47%E -2.94%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.62%E -1.33%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.61%E -1.84%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.61%E -1.84%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 19:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.58%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.58%E -2.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.64%E -0.820%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.64%E -0.820%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 19:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.51%E -4.12%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.657%E -0.325%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.51%E -4.12%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.657%E -0.325%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -8.02%E -4.43%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -0.657%E -0.325%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 19:56 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.52%E -4.74%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.64%E -0.820%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 19:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -13.10%E -7.66%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -10.98%E -6.07%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 19:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36% | 1.8% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.8% | 2026-02-28 19:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23% | 2.1% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.8% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.8% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.8% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61% | 2.8% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.09% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 19:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.18% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.79% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 19:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.28% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.15% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.57% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 19:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 19:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.24% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 19:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.13% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.80% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.92% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.12% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.12% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.13% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 19:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.65% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.65% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 39.74% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43% | 10.8% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |