La scuola delle quote

Philadelphia Flyers v Boston Bruins

Inizio: 2026-04-05 19:47 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Philadelphia Flyers (Casa)

Previsione 58.86%1.70quota equa
EV +0.059%
Vantaggio +0.034%
Kelly +0.084%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.70%58.83%58.88%61.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.631.621.7065.79%61.19%61.73%58.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Boston Bruins (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.14%2.43quota equa
EV +2.86%
Vantaggio +1.14%
Kelly +1.90%
Crescita +0.054%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.42%41.17%41.12%43.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.302.302.5047.62%43.56%43.48%40.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -8.18%E -5.24%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +2.86%E +1.14%K +1.90%G +0.054%4.1%2026-04-05 19:44
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -0.436%E -0.180%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 19:29
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -0.436%E -0.180%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 19:29
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.47%E -2.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.848%E -0.352%K -0.601%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-05 19:35
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.26%E -0.525%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 19:29
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.26%E -0.525%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 19:29
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.08%E -0.875%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 19:29
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 19:30
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.32%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:29
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.32%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.32%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:30
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.14%E -1.78%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 19:28
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.55%E -1.96%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 19:40
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.55%E -1.96%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 19:34
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.96%E -2.15%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 19:30
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.71%E -1.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.37%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 17:55
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.37%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 19:29
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.37%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 19:34
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.37%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 19:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.37%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 19:35
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.42%E -4.04%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.37%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 19:35
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.30%E -1.38%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.20%E -2.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 19:30
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -1.71%E -1.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -6.61%E -2.91%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 19:29
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -6.61%E -2.91%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 18:29
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 17:09
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 19:38
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 18:54
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.83%E -3.64%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 19:45
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV +0.059%E +0.034%K +0.084%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -8.25%E -3.70%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 04:00
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV +0.059%E +0.034%K +0.084%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -8.25%E -3.70%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 04:00
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.30%E -1.38%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -8.66%E -3.90%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 17:10
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.30%E -1.38%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -8.66%E -3.90%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 17:10
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.12%E -0.666%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 04:00
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.71%E -1.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 19:40
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 19:44
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 16:04
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -10.54%E -6.93%K -20.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -13.60%E -6.48%K -12.37%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-05 19:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%-0.2%2026-04-05 19:29
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-05 19:35
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.6%2026-04-05 19:39
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-04-05 19:30
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%2.6%2026-04-05 19:45
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%2.6%2026-04-05 19:40
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%8.0%2026-04-05 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 38.85%1.01I 99.01%NM 61.15%61.9%2026-04-05 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 38.85%1.01I 99.01%NM 61.15%61.9%2026-04-05 19:45

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 45.71%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%0.4%2026-04-05 19:45
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.71%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%0.4%2026-04-05 19:00
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.1%2026-04-05 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.1%2026-04-05 10:50
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.1%2026-04-05 10:49
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.02%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%4.0%2026-04-05 19:45
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.05%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.08%4.6%2026-04-05 19:25
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.86%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.64%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%4.6%2026-04-05 19:27
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.13%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%5.5%2026-04-05 10:49
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.13%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%5.5%2026-04-05 10:50
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.13%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%5.5%2026-04-05 10:50
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%6.5%2026-04-05 18:29
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%6.5%2026-04-05 19:40
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%6.6%2026-04-05 10:50
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%6.9%2026-04-05 19:45
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 45.46%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%7.3%2026-04-05 10:49
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.43%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.00%7.4%2026-04-05 19:28
Codere (IT)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.42%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-04-05 19:30
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%9.9%2026-04-05 19:44
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.89%10.1%2026-04-05 19:43
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%12.6%2026-04-05 10:50
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 46.17%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.47%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.36%17.7%2026-04-05 19:45