L’École des cotes

Philadelphia Flyers v Boston Bruins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 19:47 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Philadelphia Flyers (Local)

Prévision 58.86%1.70cote équitable
EV +0.059%
Avantage +0.034%
Kelly +0.084%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.70%58.83%58.88%61.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.631.621.7065.79%61.19%61.73%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boston Bruins (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.14%2.43cote équitable
EV +2.86%
Avantage +1.14%
Kelly +1.90%
Croissance +0.054%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.42%41.17%41.12%43.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.302.302.5047.62%43.56%43.48%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -8.18%E -5.24%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +2.86%E +1.14%K +1.90%G +0.054%4.1%2026-04-05 19:44
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -0.436%E -0.180%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 19:29
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -0.436%E -0.180%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 19:29
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.47%E -2.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.848%E -0.352%K -0.601%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-05 19:35
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.26%E -0.525%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 19:29
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.26%E -0.525%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 19:29
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.08%E -0.875%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 19:29
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.90%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 19:30
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.32%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:29
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.32%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.32%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:30
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.14%E -1.78%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 19:28
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.55%E -1.96%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 19:40
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.55%E -1.96%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 19:34
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.96%E -2.15%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 19:30
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.71%E -1.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.37%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 17:55
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.37%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 19:29
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.37%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 19:34
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.37%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 19:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.65%E -2.87%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.37%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 19:35
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.42%E -4.04%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.37%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 19:35
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.30%E -1.38%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.20%E -2.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 19:30
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -1.71%E -1.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -6.61%E -2.91%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 19:29
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -6.61%E -2.91%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 18:29
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 17:09
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 19:38
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 18:54
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.83%E -3.64%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 19:45
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV +0.059%E +0.034%K +0.084%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -8.25%E -3.70%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 04:00
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV +0.059%E +0.034%K +0.084%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -8.25%E -3.70%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 04:00
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.30%E -1.38%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -8.66%E -3.90%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 17:10
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.30%E -1.38%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -8.66%E -3.90%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 17:10
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.12%E -0.666%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 04:00
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.71%E -1.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 19:40
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 19:44
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.88%E -1.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 16:04
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -10.54%E -6.93%K -20.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -13.60%E -6.48%K -12.37%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-05 19:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%-0.2%2026-04-05 19:29
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-05 19:35
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.6%2026-04-05 19:39
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-04-05 19:30
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%2.6%2026-04-05 19:45
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%2.6%2026-04-05 19:40
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%8.0%2026-04-05 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 38.85%1.01I 99.01%NM 61.15%61.9%2026-04-05 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 38.85%1.01I 99.01%NM 61.15%61.9%2026-04-05 19:45

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 45.71%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%0.4%2026-04-05 19:45
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.71%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%0.4%2026-04-05 19:00
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.1%2026-04-05 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.1%2026-04-05 10:50
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.1%2026-04-05 10:49
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.02%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%4.0%2026-04-05 19:45
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.05%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.08%4.6%2026-04-05 19:25
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.86%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.64%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%4.6%2026-04-05 19:27
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.13%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%5.5%2026-04-05 10:49
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.13%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%5.5%2026-04-05 10:50
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.13%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%5.5%2026-04-05 10:50
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%6.5%2026-04-05 18:29
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%6.5%2026-04-05 19:40
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%6.6%2026-04-05 10:50
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.79%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%6.9%2026-04-05 19:45
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 45.46%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%7.3%2026-04-05 10:49
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.43%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.00%7.4%2026-04-05 19:28
Codere (IT)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.42%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-04-05 19:30
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%9.9%2026-04-05 19:44
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.89%10.1%2026-04-05 19:43
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%12.6%2026-04-05 10:50
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 46.17%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.47%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.36%17.7%2026-04-05 19:45