The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Philadelphia Flyers v Anaheim Ducks

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 17:08 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Flyers 4–5 Anaheim Ducks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Flyers (Local)

Prediction 52.49%1.91fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -3.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.57%52.64%52.55%53.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.821.821.8558.14%55.06%54.95%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anaheim Ducks (Visit)

Prediction 47.51%2.10fair odd
EV -0.230%
Edge -0.110%
Kelly -0.209%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.15%47.36%47.45%48.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.002.002.1053.19%49.93%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Flyers (Local): 52.49%; Anaheim Ducks (Visit): 47.51%. For Anaheim Ducks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.105. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.100, with an expected value of -0.230%; they did not produce positive expected value.

20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.89%E -1.56%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -2.13%E -1.03%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-24 16:55
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.89%E -1.56%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.93%E -3.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 13:56
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.89%E -1.56%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.41%E -3.25%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 17:00
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.89%E -1.56%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.41%E -3.25%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 17:00
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.94%E -2.15%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.03%E -2.00%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 16:40
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.94%E -2.15%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.94%E -2.15%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 15:06
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.94%E -2.15%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 15:01
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.94%E -2.15%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 11:24
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.94%E -2.15%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 13:20
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.94%E -2.15%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.94%E -2.15%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.94%E -2.15%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 15:00
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.94%E -2.15%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 15:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.94%E -2.15%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 00:20
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.94%E -2.15%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 17:05
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.94%E -2.15%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 11:25
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.94%E -2.15%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.36%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 16:20
Caesars🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.47%E -2.45%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.08%E -1.51%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 17:05
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.47%E -2.45%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.03%E -2.00%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-23 19:44
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.47%E -2.45%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.03%E -2.00%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 16:54
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.47%E -2.45%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 15:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.47%E -2.45%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 16:43
NordicBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.99%E -2.76%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 16:55
Betsson🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.99%E -2.76%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.99%E -2.76%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -0.230%E -0.110%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-24 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -0.230%E -0.110%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-24 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.61%E -1.27%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.61%E -1.27%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 17:05
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.61%E -1.27%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 08:45
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 05:20
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 15:06
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 15:06
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 15:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.93%E -3.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 15:15
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.93%E -3.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 15:15
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.36%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 17:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.52%E -3.06%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.36%E -3.77%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -9.72%E -5.65%K -13.49%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -10.68%E -5.68%K -12.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%-0.0%2026-10-24 16:59
Matchbook◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-10-24 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-10-24 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-10-24 17:05
Novig◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-10-24 17:05
ProphetX◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-10-24 17:00
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-10-24 17:05
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-10-24 17:00
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-10-24 17:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 40.09%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.07%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84%1.8%2026-10-24 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.07%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.02%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91%2.7%2026-10-24 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.07%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.02%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91%2.7%2026-10-24 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.07%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.02%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91%2.7%2026-10-24 17:00
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.43%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%4.4%2026-10-24 14:45
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.48%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.61%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.91%4.7%2026-10-24 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%5.0%2026-10-24 17:05
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%5.6%2026-10-24 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%5.6%2026-10-24 17:00
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%5.6%2026-10-24 17:00
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.08%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%6.2%2026-10-24 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%6.6%2026-10-24 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.33%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.13%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.54%6.9%2026-10-24 17:05
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.87%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%8.1%2026-10-24 17:00
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%8.5%2026-10-24 17:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.57%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%8.6%2026-10-24 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.75%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%9.1%2026-10-24 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.76%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%11.5%2026-10-24 17:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.52%12.4%2026-10-24 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.37%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.46%15.2%2026-10-24 16:50