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Ottawa Senators v St Louis Blues
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ottawa Senators (Local)
Prediction 46.40%2.16fair odd
EV +0.679%
Edge +0.313%
Kelly +0.580%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.64%46.47%46.56%48.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.052.052.1751.81%48.85%48.78%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St Louis Blues (Visit)
Prediction 53.60%1.87fair odd
EV +0.240%
Edge +0.128%
Kelly +0.275%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.17%53.53%53.44%55.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.781.791.8759.52%56.16%55.87%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ottawa Senators (Local): 46.40%; St Louis Blues (Visit): 53.60%. For Ottawa Senators (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.679%.
20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV +0.679%E +0.313%K +0.580%G +0.004% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-13 23:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV +0.679%E +0.313%K +0.580%G +0.004% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-13 23:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.64%E -0.774%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-13 23:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-10-13 23:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 23:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 23:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 23:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 23:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 23:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 23:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 23:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.98%E -1.64%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-13 23:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-13 23:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-13 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-13 22:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-13 22:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-13 23:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-13 22:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-13 23:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-13 22:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.05%E -2.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-13 23:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 23:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 23:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-13 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-13 23:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.35%E -2.62%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -2.98%E -1.64%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-13 23:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.35%E -2.62%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -2.98%E -1.64%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-13 23:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.35%E -2.62%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 23:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.82%E -2.87%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.05%E -2.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 22:33 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-13 23:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -9.06%E -4.62%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV +0.240%E +0.128%K +0.275%G +0.001% | 4.5% | 2026-10-13 21:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-13 23:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-13 23:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-13 23:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-13 23:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -10.46%E -5.42%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.46%EV -9.95%E -5.92%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-13 23:31 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-10-13 23:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-10-13 23:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-10-13 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27% | 1.2% | 2026-10-13 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27% | 1.2% | 2026-10-13 23:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29% | 1.8% | 2026-10-13 23:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.3% | 2026-10-13 23:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03% | 4.6% | 2026-10-13 23:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27% | 8.7% | 2026-10-13 22:30 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.87% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.45% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.68% | 1.4% | 2026-10-13 23:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.88% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-10-13 23:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.88% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-10-13 23:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.88% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-10-13 23:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.94% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 23:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 23:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 23:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.80% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 23:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.80% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 23:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.80% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 23:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.80% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 23:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.82% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40% | 6.3% | 2026-10-13 23:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.05% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.66% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29% | 6.8% | 2026-10-13 23:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-10-13 22:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.52% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19% | 7.3% | 2026-10-13 23:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43% | 8.5% | 2026-10-13 23:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.02% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97% | 8.9% | 2026-10-13 23:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46% | 10.9% | 2026-10-13 23:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30% | 12.1% | 2026-10-13 23:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.22% | 14.8% | 2026-10-13 23:20 |