La scuola delle quote

Ottawa Senators v Pittsburgh Penguins

Inizio: 2026-03-26 23:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ottawa Senators (Casa)

Previsione 57.34%1.74quota equa
EV -3.10%
Vantaggio -1.83%
Kelly -4.49%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.28%57.40%57.40%58.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.671.671.6965.36%60.01%59.88%59.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pittsburgh Penguins (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.66%2.34quota equa
EV -1.45%
Vantaggio -0.630%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.77%42.60%42.60%43.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.072.242.252.3148.31%44.67%44.44%43.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.10%E -1.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.45%E -0.630%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-26 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -3.10%E -1.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -3.16%E -1.39%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 23:05
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -3.10%E -1.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -3.16%E -1.39%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 23:04
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.10%E -1.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-26 23:04
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.10%E -1.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-26 23:05
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.10%E -1.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-26 23:04
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.10%E -1.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-26 23:04
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.10%E -1.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-26 23:05
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.10%E -1.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-26 23:05
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.16%E -1.39%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-26 23:03
ReBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 22:59
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.44%E -1.98%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 23:04
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.67%E -2.18%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 23:05
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 23:04
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 23:03
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:05
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:04
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:04
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:05
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:05
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.29%E -2.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 23:04
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 23:05
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.24%E -2.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.28%E -3.85%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 23:05
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.82%E -2.90%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.87%E -2.18%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:04
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.82%E -2.90%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.29%E -2.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 23:05
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.82%E -2.90%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.29%E -2.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 23:05
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.88%E -0.818%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 23:05
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.88%E -0.818%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 23:05
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:04
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:05
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 23:05
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 23:03
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 23:05
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.15%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 23:05
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.96%E -3.64%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.73%E -1.20%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:57
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.27%E -8.02%K -23.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -11.69%E -5.65%K -10.93%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-26 23:01
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-03-26 22:59
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-26 23:05
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-26 23:05
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-26 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-03-26 23:05
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-03-26 23:03
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-03-26 23:05
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%2.3%2026-03-26 23:05
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%2.7%2026-03-26 23:05

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-03-26 23:05
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-03-26 23:05
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-03-26 23:05
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-03-26 23:04
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.90%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.42%3.7%2026-03-26 23:04
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.7%2026-03-26 23:04
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.26%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-03-26 22:59
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.34%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.61%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05%4.8%2026-03-26 22:59
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%5.6%2026-03-26 23:05
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%5.6%2026-03-26 23:05
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%5.6%2026-03-26 23:04
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%5.6%2026-03-26 23:04
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%6.1%2026-03-26 23:05
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-03-26 23:05
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-03-26 23:05
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%8.7%2026-03-26 23:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-03-26 22:59
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-03-26 22:59
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%9.1%2026-03-26 23:05
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.05%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%9.3%2026-03-26 23:05
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%9.5%2026-03-26 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.76%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.02%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.21%10.9%2026-03-26 23:05