Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ottawa Senators v Philadelphia Flyers

2026-10-08 23:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ottawa Senators (Local)

Prediction 52.15%1.92fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.15%52.15%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.831.831.8755.56%54.50%54.50%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Flyers (Visit)

Prediction 47.85%2.09fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.927%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.85%47.85%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.002.002.0551.28%50.00%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ottawa Senators (Local): 52.15%; Philadelphia Flyers (Visit): 47.85%. For Philadelphia Flyers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.05, with an expected value of -1.90%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.49%E -1.33%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 18:04
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.90%E -0.927%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 18:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.