The School of Odds

Ottawa Senators v Philadelphia Flyers

2026-10-08 23:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Ottawa Senators (Local)

Prediction 53.25%1.88fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -5.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%53.25%53.25%53.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.801.801.8056%56%56%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Philadelphia Flyers (Visit)

Prediction 46.75%2.14fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -3.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%46.75%46.75%46.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.052.052.0549%49%49%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.429%E -0.229%K -0.493%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.83%E -4.53%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 18:04
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 18:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.