La scuola delle quote

Ottawa Senators v Minnesota Wild

Inizio: 2026-04-04 17:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ottawa Senators (Casa)

Previsione 54.00%1.85quota equa
EV -1.18%
Vantaggio -0.646%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.22%53.89%53.95%55.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.781.781.8360.61%56.04%56.18%54.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Minnesota Wild (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.00%2.17quota equa
EV -1.56%
Vantaggio -0.728%
Kelly -1.37%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.85%46.11%46.05%47.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.882.052.052.1453.19%48.71%48.78%46.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -1.18%E -0.646%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -6.62%E -3.26%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 16:40
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.18%E -0.646%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 16:19
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.18%E -0.646%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 16:19
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.18%E -0.646%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 16:20
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.18%E -0.646%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 14:45
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.26%E -1.25%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.48%E -1.17%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 15:40
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.26%E -1.25%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 16:29
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:09
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:10
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:10
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 15:34
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:30
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 09:44
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 08:00
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 09:40
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.34%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -2.02%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 14:39
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -2.02%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 14:39
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.08%E -3.50%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:10
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.08%E -3.50%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:09
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:39
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:10
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:45
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:43
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:39
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 14:40
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:09
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 15:45
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:29
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.78%E -2.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 16:38
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.24%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 16:29
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.24%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 16:29
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 16:58
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.56%E -0.728%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 16:39
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.26%EV -10.90%E -6.61%K -16.77%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -13.52%E -7.19%K -15.36%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 16:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-04-04 16:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-04-04 17:00
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-04-04 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-04-04 17:00
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%0.9%2026-04-04 17:00
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-04 16:39
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-04 16:39
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-04-04 17:00
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-04-04 17:00

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-04-04 16:19
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-04-04 16:19
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-04-04 16:19
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-04-04 16:19
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.35%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90%4.0%2026-04-04 17:00
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.94%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%4.6%2026-04-04 16:19
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.93%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.70%4.6%2026-04-04 16:59
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.91%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%4.9%2026-04-04 16:19
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.91%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%4.9%2026-04-04 16:19
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 40.91%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%4.9%2026-04-04 16:19
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 40.91%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%4.9%2026-04-04 16:19
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-04-04 15:19
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-04-04 16:19
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%6.6%2026-04-04 16:44
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-04-04 16:59
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.81%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%7.5%2026-04-04 16:19
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.90%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%8.7%2026-04-04 16:59
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%9.0%2026-04-04 16:59
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%9.2%2026-04-04 16:59
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.53%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%9.4%2026-04-04 17:00
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%10.0%2026-04-04 16:58
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.83%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.54%12.3%2026-04-04 16:19