L’École des cotes

Ottawa Senators v Minnesota Wild

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 17:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ottawa Senators (Local)

Prévision 54.00%1.85cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.646%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.22%53.89%53.95%55.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.781.781.8360.61%56.04%56.18%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Minnesota Wild (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.00%2.17cote équitable
EV -1.56%
Avantage -0.728%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.85%46.11%46.05%47.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.882.052.052.1453.19%48.71%48.78%46.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -1.18%E -0.646%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -6.62%E -3.26%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 16:40
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.18%E -0.646%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 16:19
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.18%E -0.646%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 16:19
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.18%E -0.646%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 16:20
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.18%E -0.646%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 14:45
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.26%E -1.25%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.48%E -1.17%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 15:40
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.26%E -1.25%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 16:29
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:09
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:10
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:10
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 15:34
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:30
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 09:44
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 08:00
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 09:40
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.34%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -2.02%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 14:39
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -2.02%E -0.948%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 14:39
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.08%E -3.50%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:10
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.08%E -3.50%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:09
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:39
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:10
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:45
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:43
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:39
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 14:40
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:09
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 15:45
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:29
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.78%E -2.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 16:38
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.24%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 16:29
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.24%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 16:29
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 16:58
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.56%E -0.728%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 16:39
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.26%EV -10.90%E -6.61%K -16.77%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -13.52%E -7.19%K -15.36%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 16:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-04-04 16:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-04-04 17:00
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-04-04 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-04-04 17:00
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%0.9%2026-04-04 17:00
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-04 16:39
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-04 16:39
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-04-04 17:00
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-04-04 17:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-04-04 16:19
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-04-04 16:19
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-04-04 16:19
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-04-04 16:19
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.35%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90%4.0%2026-04-04 17:00
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.94%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%4.6%2026-04-04 16:19
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.93%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.70%4.6%2026-04-04 16:59
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.91%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%4.9%2026-04-04 16:19
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.91%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%4.9%2026-04-04 16:19
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 40.91%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%4.9%2026-04-04 16:19
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 40.91%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%4.9%2026-04-04 16:19
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-04-04 15:19
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-04-04 16:19
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%6.6%2026-04-04 16:44
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-04-04 16:59
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.81%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%7.5%2026-04-04 16:19
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.90%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%8.7%2026-04-04 16:59
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%9.0%2026-04-04 16:59
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%9.2%2026-04-04 16:59
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.53%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%9.4%2026-04-04 17:00
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%10.0%2026-04-04 16:58
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.83%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.54%12.3%2026-04-04 16:19