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Ottawa Senators v Carolina Hurricanes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ottawa Senators (Local)
Prediction 50.02%2.00fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -3.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.61%50.13%50.00%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.901.911.9354.05%52.55%52.36%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Carolina Hurricanes (Visit)
Prediction 49.98%2.00fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%49.87%50.00%50.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.911.911.9554.64%52.42%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ottawa Senators (Local): 50.02%; Carolina Hurricanes (Visit): 49.98%. For Carolina Hurricanes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -2.54%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -3.46%E -1.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -2.54%E -1.30%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.46%E -1.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.04%E -1.57%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.46%E -1.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.04%E -1.57%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-24 02:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.54%E -1.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.54%E -1.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 03:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 02:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 02:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 02:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 02:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.46%E -2.89%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.04%E -2.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.46%E -2.89%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.54%E -1.30%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -6.96%E -3.74%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -8.04%E -4.37%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.54%E -4.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-24 03:18 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 0.0% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73% | 9.9% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73% | 9.9% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.86% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.14% | 10.2% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.34% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.34% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.34% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.34% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.49% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.19% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.32% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.21% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.21% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 02:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.51% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.29% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 02:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.03% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.28% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.03% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.28% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.03% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.28% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.03% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.28% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 02:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 02:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75% | 6.3% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 03:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.65% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.65% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71% | 10.1% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19% | 12.0% | 2026-04-24 03:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.88% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72% | 12.3% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.54% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.54% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.92% | 17.9% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |