La scuola delle quote

Ottawa Senators v Anaheim Ducks

Inizio: 2026-03-14 17:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ottawa Senators (Casa)

Previsione 61.74%1.62quota equa
EV -1.84%
Vantaggio -1.16%
Kelly -3.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.59

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.61%61.75%61.66%63.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.541.551.5969.93%64.73%64.52%62.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Anaheim Ducks (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.26%2.61quota equa
EV +0.631%
Vantaggio +0.240%
Kelly +0.387%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.32%38.25%38.34%39.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.502.502.6343.48%39.95%40.00%38.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.39%E -4.93%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.631%E +0.240%K +0.387%G +0.002%4.7%2026-03-14 17:05
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.39%E -4.93%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.631%E +0.240%K +0.387%G +0.002%4.7%2026-03-14 17:05
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -6.78%E -4.49%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV +0.248%E +0.095%K +0.153%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 17:04
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.134%E -0.051%K -0.083%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-14 17:05
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.28%E -0.497%K -0.812%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-14 17:05
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.28%E -0.497%K -0.812%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-14 17:05
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.31%E -2.78%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.28%E -0.497%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 17:03
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.43%E -0.953%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 17:05
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.43%E -0.953%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 17:05
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.92%E -3.20%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.43%E -0.953%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 17:05
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.92%E -3.20%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.81%E -1.11%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 17:04
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -6.16%E -4.05%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -2.81%E -1.11%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 17:00
Everygame1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.84%E -1.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-14 17:05
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 17:05
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 17:05
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 17:05
Paddy Power1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 17:05
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 17:05
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 16:59
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.31%E -2.78%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 17:05
FanDuel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.31%E -2.78%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.54%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:05
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.54%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:05
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.92%E -3.20%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.73%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 17:05
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.92%E -3.20%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.73%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 17:05
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.92%E -3.20%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.73%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 17:05
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.84%E -1.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.26%E -2.55%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 17:05
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.26%E -2.55%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 17:05
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.31%E -2.78%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.26%E -2.55%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.54%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.26%E -2.55%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 17:05
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.54%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.26%E -2.55%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 17:04
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.02%E -2.89%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 16:58
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.17%E -3.40%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 17:04
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.31%E -2.78%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.17%E -3.40%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 17:04
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.31%E -2.78%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.17%E -3.40%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 17:05
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.66%EV -11.72%E -8.19%K -27.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.34%EV -12.00%E -5.22%K -9.23%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-14 16:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 62.21%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.79%-0.2%2026-03-14 16:59
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%0.5%2026-03-14 17:05
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-14 17:05
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-03-14 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29%1.6%2026-03-14 17:05
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-03-14 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-03-14 17:05
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-03-14 17:05
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%7.3%2026-03-14 17:00

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.02%3.4%2026-03-14 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.02%3.4%2026-03-14 17:05
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.02%3.4%2026-03-14 17:05
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.02%3.4%2026-03-14 17:05
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.08%4.1%2026-03-14 17:00
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.95%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.29%4.4%2026-03-14 17:05
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.87%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.97%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.16%4.6%2026-03-14 16:59
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 49.79%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.24%4.6%2026-03-14 17:05
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.02%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.47%4.7%2026-03-14 16:59
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%5.2%2026-03-14 17:05
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%5.2%2026-03-14 17:05
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%5.2%2026-03-14 17:05
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%5.2%2026-03-14 17:05
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%6.6%2026-03-14 17:05
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 52.61%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%7.4%2026-03-14 17:05
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%7.4%2026-03-14 17:05
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.93%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%8.7%2026-03-14 17:05
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.39%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%8.8%2026-03-14 17:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%9.1%2026-03-14 17:00
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%9.1%2026-03-14 17:01
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.70%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.24%11.0%2026-03-14 17:03
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.46%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%11.1%2026-03-14 17:04