La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ottawa Senators v Anaheim Ducks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ottawa Senators (Local)
Predicción 61.74%1.62momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -3.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.61%61.75%61.66%63.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.541.551.5969.93%64.73%64.52%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Anaheim Ducks (Visitante)
Predicción 38.26%2.61momio equitativo
EV +0.631%
Ventaja +0.240%
Kelly +0.387%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.32%38.25%38.34%39.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.502.502.6343.48%39.95%40.00%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.39%E -4.93%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.631%E +0.240%K +0.387%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.39%E -4.93%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.631%E +0.240%K +0.387%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Caesars | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -6.78%E -4.49%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV +0.248%E +0.095%K +0.153%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 17:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.134%E -0.051%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.28%E -0.497%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.28%E -0.497%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Bovada | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.31%E -2.78%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.28%E -0.497%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 17:03 |
| BetUS | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.43%E -0.953%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.43%E -0.953%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| GTbets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.92%E -3.20%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.43%E -0.953%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.92%E -3.20%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.81%E -1.11%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 17:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -6.16%E -4.05%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -2.81%E -1.11%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:00 |
| Everygame | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.84%E -1.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| ReBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.31%E -2.78%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.31%E -2.78%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.54%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.54%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Betsson | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.92%E -3.20%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.73%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.92%E -3.20%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.73%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.92%E -3.20%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.73%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.84%E -1.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.26%E -2.55%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Fliff | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.26%E -2.55%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.31%E -2.78%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.26%E -2.55%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.54%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.26%E -2.55%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.54%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.26%E -2.55%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 17:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.02%E -2.89%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 16:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.17%E -3.40%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 17:04 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.31%E -2.78%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.17%E -3.40%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 17:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.31%E -2.78%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.17%E -3.40%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.66%EV -11.72%E -8.19%K -27.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.34%EV -12.00%E -5.22%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.61I 62.11%NM 62.21% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.79% | -0.2% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| Novig | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29% | 1.6% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47% | 1.9% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47% | 1.9% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 17:00 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.02% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 17:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.02% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.02% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.02% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.08% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 17:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.95% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.29% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.87% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.97% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.16% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.79% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.02% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.47% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| Unibet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Casumo | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.61% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.93% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.39% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 17:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 17:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.70% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.24% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 17:03 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.46% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96% | 11.1% | 2026-03-14 17:04 |