The School of Odds
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New York Rangers v Winnipeg Jets

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Rangers (Local)

Prediction 52.10%1.92fair odd
EV -0.480%
Edge -0.251%
Kelly -0.527%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.94%52.22%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.841.831.9159.52%54.48%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Winnipeg Jets (Visit)

Prediction 47.90%2.09fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.885%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%48.06%47.78%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.982.002.0554.05%50.40%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Rangers (Local): 52.10%; Winnipeg Jets (Visit): 47.90%. For New York Rangers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -0.480%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.480%E -0.251%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.52%E -4.46%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 15:39
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.04%E -1.09%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.60%E -3.39%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 15:54
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.56%E -1.37%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.60%E -3.39%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 15:54
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.56%E -1.37%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.60%E -3.39%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 15:55
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.56%E -1.37%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.60%E -3.39%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 15:54
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.56%E -1.37%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.60%E -3.39%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.56%E -1.37%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.60%E -3.39%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 15:55
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.08%E -1.66%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.81%E -0.885%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-22 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -3.08%E -1.66%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -3.25%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 15:55
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.08%E -1.66%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -6.60%E -3.39%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 15:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.61%E -1.95%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.29%E -1.12%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 15:35
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.61%E -1.95%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.73%E -1.86%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 15:50
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.61%E -1.95%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.60%E -3.39%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -3.61%E -1.95%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -8.04%E -4.19%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:54
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -3.61%E -1.95%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -8.04%E -4.19%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:54
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -4.13%E -2.24%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.73%E -1.86%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 15:45
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.65%E -2.54%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.25%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 14:54
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.65%E -2.54%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.25%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 14:54
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.65%E -2.54%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.21%E -2.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 15:55
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.65%E -2.54%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.21%E -2.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 15:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.65%E -2.54%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.21%E -2.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 09:59
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.65%E -2.54%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.21%E -2.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 15:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.65%E -2.54%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.21%E -2.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 04:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.65%E -2.54%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.21%E -2.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 15:39
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.65%E -2.54%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.21%E -2.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 15:53
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.65%E -2.54%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.21%E -2.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 15:39
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.65%E -2.54%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.21%E -2.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 12:13
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.65%E -2.54%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.69%E -2.36%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 15:48
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.65%E -2.54%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.17%E -2.61%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 15:49
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.65%E -2.54%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.17%E -2.61%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 15:49
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.17%E -2.84%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.25%E -1.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 14:55
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.17%E -2.84%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.21%E -2.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 15:35
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.21%E -3.45%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.81%E -0.885%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 15:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.21%E -3.45%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.21%E -2.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 11:59
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.21%E -3.45%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.21%E -2.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 03:40
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.21%E -3.45%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.21%E -2.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 15:48
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.21%E -3.45%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.21%E -2.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 07:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.41%EV -12.46%E -7.42%K -18.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -11.39%E -6.16%K -13.40%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-22 15:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-03-22 15:55
Matchbook◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-03-22 15:55
ProphetX◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-03-22 15:55
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-03-22 15:55
Polymarket◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-03-22 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-03-22 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-03-22 15:55
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-03-22 15:55
BetOpenly◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-03-22 15:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.96%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.10%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.94%2.6%2026-03-22 14:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.96%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.10%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.94%2.6%2026-03-22 14:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.96%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.10%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.94%2.6%2026-03-22 14:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.96%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.10%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.94%2.6%2026-03-22 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%4.1%2026-03-22 12:14
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.00%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.46%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.53%4.7%2026-03-22 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.97%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%4.8%2026-03-22 15:45
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-03-22 15:29
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%5.5%2026-03-22 14:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%5.5%2026-03-22 14:55
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%5.5%2026-03-22 14:54
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%5.5%2026-03-22 14:55
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%6.3%2026-03-22 14:54
LeoVegas🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.10%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.04%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%6.7%2026-03-22 14:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-03-22 11:59
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%7.7%2026-03-22 11:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%8.3%2026-03-22 15:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.34%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%8.7%2026-03-22 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.61%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%9.4%2026-03-22 07:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%10.9%2026-03-22 15:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.01%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%11.1%2026-03-22 15:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.50%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.75%14.2%2026-03-22 15:44