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New York Rangers v Philadelphia Flyers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Rangers (Local)
Prediction 56.45%1.77fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.693%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.55%56.34%56.56%57.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.701.701.7564.52%58.91%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Flyers (Visit)
Prediction 43.55%2.30fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.895%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%43.66%43.44%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.182.182.2549.50%45.88%45.87%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Rangers (Local): 56.45%; Philadelphia Flyers (Visit): 43.55%. For New York Rangers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.75, with an expected value of -1.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.21%E -0.693%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-27 01:03 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.93%E -2.75%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%EV -2.45%E -1.09%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.91%E -1.69%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.80%E -3.18%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-27 00:56 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.06%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.06%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.06%E -2.32%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.47%E -2.03%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-27 01:02 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 00:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.03%E -2.37%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.55%E -4.07%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.60%E -2.72%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.60%E -2.72%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-27 01:02 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.60%E -2.72%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.60%E -2.72%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.60%E -2.72%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.60%E -2.72%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.60%E -2.72%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.50%E -2.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.16%E -3.07%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.45%E -1.09%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.16%E -3.07%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.32%E -1.50%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.16%E -3.07%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.37%E -2.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.01%E -0.895%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.73%E -3.43%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.90%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.58%EV -12.50%E -8.07%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.42%EV -12.03%E -5.96%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-27 01:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.56% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.44% | -0.2% | 2026-02-27 00:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.3% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39% | 1.5% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 2.1% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 2.4% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.60% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.53% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88% | 2.9% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.60% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.53% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88% | 2.9% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.60% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.53% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88% | 2.9% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.60% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.53% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88% | 2.9% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.26% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.92% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.32% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.61% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 00:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.43% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.83% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74% | 4.7% | 2026-02-27 00:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.38% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72% | 4.8% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.66% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.66% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.66% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.66% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88% | 6.6% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.97% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.95% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 01:01 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39% | 9.6% | 2026-02-27 00:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65% | 10.4% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.11% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.08% | 10.5% | 2026-02-27 01:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.78% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.80% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43% | 10.9% | 2026-02-27 01:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.56% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.74% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.70% | 17.5% | 2026-02-27 01:05 |