The School of Odds
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New York Rangers v Ottawa Senators

Kickoff: 2026-03-23 23:50 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Rangers (Local)

Prediction 37.14%2.69fair odd
EV +0.268%
Edge +0.099%
Kelly +0.158%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.41%37.06%37.07%38.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.422.552.552.7041.32%39.14%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ottawa Senators (Visit)

Prediction 62.86%1.59fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.831%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.43%62.94%62.93%64.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.521.531.5771.94%65.60%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Rangers (Local): 37.14%; Ottawa Senators (Visit): 62.86%. For New York Rangers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.268%.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +0.268%E +0.099%K +0.158%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 23:40
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +0.268%E +0.099%K +0.158%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 23:39
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +0.268%E +0.099%K +0.158%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 23:25
BetAnything🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.59%E -0.599%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.08%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 23:40
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.59%E -0.599%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.08%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 23:40
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -2.70%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -2.56%E -1.65%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-23 23:36
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -1.93%E -1.24%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-23 23:36
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.82%E -2.50%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-23 23:39
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.82%E -2.50%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-23 23:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.82%E -2.50%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-23 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.82%E -2.50%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-23 23:39
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.45%E -2.93%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 23:39
Bovada🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -4.19%E -1.62%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -2.56%E -1.65%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-23 23:39
Bet Right🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.19%E -1.62%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.82%E -2.50%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 23:39
Caesars🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.19%E -1.62%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.82%E -2.50%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 23:40
ReBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.19%E -1.62%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.82%E -2.50%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 23:29
FanDuel🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.19%E -1.62%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.45%E -2.93%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 23:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.30%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.93%E -1.24%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-23 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.30%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.93%E -1.24%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-23 23:39
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.30%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.82%E -2.50%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 23:39
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.30%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.45%E -2.93%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 23:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.30%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 23:38
GTbets🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -6.79%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -3.82%E -2.50%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 23:39
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.30%E -0.831%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-23 23:36
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.56%E -1.65%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 23:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.19%E -2.07%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 23:31
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.82%E -2.50%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 23:29
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.82%E -2.50%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.82%E -2.50%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 23:40
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.82%E -2.50%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 23:39
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.45%E -2.93%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 23:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.08%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 23:40
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 23:38
NordicBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -7.53%E -3.02%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -3.19%E -2.07%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 23:40
Betsson🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -7.53%E -3.02%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -3.19%E -2.07%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.82%E -2.50%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 23:39
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.82%E -2.50%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 23:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.48%EV -10.13%E -4.19%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.52%EV -12.62%E -9.08%K -32.36%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-23 23:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%0.2%2026-03-23 23:29
ProphetX◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-03-23 23:45
Novig◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.1%2026-03-23 23:45
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.1%2026-03-23 23:45
Polymarket◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.1%2026-03-23 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%4.8%2026-03-23 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%4.8%2026-03-23 23:44
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%5.2%2026-03-23 23:44
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 38.86%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.14%9.0%2026-03-23 23:45

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%3.5%2026-03-23 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%3.5%2026-03-23 23:39
Svenska Spel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%3.5%2026-03-23 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%3.5%2026-03-23 23:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.79%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%3.7%2026-03-23 23:29
1xBet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.97%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.87%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.16%4.6%2026-03-23 23:29
Marathon Bet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.14%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.81%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%4.7%2026-03-23 23:29
Coolbet🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.68%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.62%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%4.7%2026-03-23 23:36
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.3%2026-03-23 23:39
Casumo🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.3%2026-03-23 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.3%2026-03-23 23:39
Grosvenor🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.3%2026-03-23 23:39
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-03-23 23:39
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%6.8%2026-03-23 23:40
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%7.0%2026-03-23 23:39
LeoVegas🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%7.6%2026-03-23 23:39
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%8.4%2026-03-23 23:39
Codere (IT)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.32%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%9.2%2026-03-23 23:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%10.6%2026-03-23 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.76%10.7%2026-03-23 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%11.2%2026-03-23 23:30