The School of Odds
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New York Rangers v New Jersey Devils

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 23:09 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Rangers (Local)

Prediction 46.64%2.14fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.527%
Kelly -0.998%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%46.65%46.75%48.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.042.052.1253.48%49.05%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Jersey Devils (Visit)

Prediction 53.36%1.87fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.696%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.84%53.35%53.25%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.791.801.8560.61%55.79%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Rangers (Local): 46.64%; New Jersey Devils (Visit): 53.36%. For New York Rangers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.12, with an expected value of -1.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.12%E -0.527%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.42%E -1.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-18 22:55
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.05%E -0.977%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 22:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.05%E -0.977%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 23:05
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.05%E -0.977%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 20:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.05%E -0.977%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 22:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -2.52%E -1.20%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -3.42%E -1.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-18 22:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -2.52%E -1.20%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -3.42%E -1.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-18 22:45
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.45%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.02%E -2.82%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 22:46
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.92%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.02%E -2.82%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 22:50
SportsBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.92%E -1.90%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 22:50
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.42%E -1.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 22:50
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 22:35
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 23:00
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 22:40
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 22:40
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 22:45
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 23:00
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 22:20
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 22:50
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 22:45
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.62%E -3.79%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 22:50
ReBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -5.32%E -2.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-18 22:46
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.32%E -2.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.02%E -2.82%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 23:05
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.32%E -2.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.02%E -2.82%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 23:05
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.02%E -2.82%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.02%E -2.82%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -6.25%E -3.11%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -3.42%E -1.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 22:50
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.29%E -0.696%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 19:05
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.29%E -0.696%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 19:05
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 15:00
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 20:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 17:05
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 22:00
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 22:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.72%E -3.36%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 19:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -12.78%E -6.83%K -14.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -11.96%E -7.25%K -18.40%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-18 22:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.40%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.60%-0.2%2026-03-18 22:50
ProphetX◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-03-18 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-03-18 23:05
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-03-18 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-03-18 23:05
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-03-18 22:35
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-03-18 23:05
Novig◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%1.4%2026-03-18 23:05
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-03-18 23:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-03-18 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-03-18 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-03-18 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-03-18 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.26%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.85%4.3%2026-03-18 23:05
Coolbet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.30%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.50%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%4.8%2026-03-18 22:50
1xBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.71%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.10%4.8%2026-03-18 22:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.22%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.05%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%4.8%2026-03-18 22:49
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%5.7%2026-03-18 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%5.7%2026-03-18 19:05
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%5.7%2026-03-18 19:05
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%5.7%2026-03-18 19:10
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.82%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-03-18 19:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.04%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-03-18 22:48
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.15%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%7.7%2026-03-18 19:05
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.15%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.21%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%7.7%2026-03-18 23:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%8.7%2026-03-18 22:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.02%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%8.9%2026-03-18 22:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.26%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%9.6%2026-03-18 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.91%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%10.6%2026-03-18 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 36.16%2.21I 45.25%NM 40.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%11.1%2026-03-18 22:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%14.0%2026-03-18 23:05