Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.22
assuming max odds 1.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Rangers (Local): 46.29%; Montréal Canadiens (Visit): 53.71%. For New York Rangers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.76%.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV +2.76%E +1.24%K +2.26%G +0.062% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -10.84%E -6.53%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.482%E -0.224%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.482%E -0.224%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.482%E -0.224%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -0.945%E -0.442%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 22:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.87%E -0.882%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.57%E -2.73%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%EV -6.04%E -2.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%EV -0.632%E -0.341%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%EV -6.04%E -2.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%EV -0.632%E -0.341%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -6.04%E -2.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 23:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -6.04%E -2.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -6.04%E -2.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.50%E -3.22%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.50%E -3.22%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.71%E -0.932%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.71%E -0.932%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.71%E -0.932%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.05%EV -11.59%E -6.07%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.95%EV -12.45%E -7.64%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-02 23:01 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38% | 0.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38% | 0.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 1.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 1.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10% | 3.1% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.57% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.57% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.57% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.57% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.86% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43% | 3.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.67% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.75% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.25% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.27% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.92% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.87% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29% | 5.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.87% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29% | 5.5% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.87% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29% | 5.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.87% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29% | 5.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90% | 7.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.31% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.95% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.71% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60% | 7.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.89% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.89% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.23% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 23:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74% | 9.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.94% | 9.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.98% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49% | 12.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |