The School of Odds
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New York Rangers v Detroit Red Wings

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 16:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Rangers (Local)

Prediction 43.47%2.30fair odd
EV -0.022%
Edge -0.009%
Kelly -0.017%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.62%43.22%43.44%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.202.202.3049.50%45.39%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Red Wings (Visit)

Prediction 56.53%1.77fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.940%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.78%56.56%58.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.691.691.7464.52%59.28%59.17%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Rangers (Local): 43.47%; Detroit Red Wings (Visit): 56.53%. For New York Rangers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.301. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.300, with an expected value of -0.022%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.022%E -0.009%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:19
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.022%E -0.009%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:20
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.022%E -0.009%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 16:20
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -0.022%E -0.009%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.29%E -4.44%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 16:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.20%E -0.976%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 13:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.20%E -0.976%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 13:44
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.20%E -0.976%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 11:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.20%E -0.976%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 16:29
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.63%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 16:29
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.63%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 16:19
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.50%E -1.58%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.64%E -0.940%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-04 16:09
BetAnything🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.50%E -1.58%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 15:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 18:25
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 15:39
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 15:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 14:29
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 13:43
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 15:43
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 13:44
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 13:44
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 01:10
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 17:50
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 13:45
MyBookie.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 15:09
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 15:29
ReBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 16:29
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 15:10
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 15:09
NordicBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 12:40
Betsson🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 12:40
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 12:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 13:44
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 13:44
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 12:39
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 04:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.42%EV -12.19%E -6.04%K -11.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.58%EV -12.38%E -7.98%K -22.50%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-04 10:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-04-04 16:29
ProphetX◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-04-04 15:20
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-04-04 15:19
Matchbook◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-04-04 16:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-04-04 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-04-04 16:30
Novig◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%1.7%2026-04-04 16:30
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-04-04 16:30
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%4.5%2026-04-04 16:30

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-04-04 16:19
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-04-04 16:19
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-04-04 16:19
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-04-04 16:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.99%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.50%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%4.5%2026-04-04 16:30
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.42%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.5%2026-04-04 16:29
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.40%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.43%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.16%4.7%2026-04-04 16:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.70%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.83%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-04-04 16:29
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.77%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%4.8%2026-04-04 16:19
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.77%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%4.8%2026-04-04 16:19
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.77%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%4.8%2026-04-04 16:19
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.77%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%4.8%2026-04-04 16:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%6.5%2026-04-04 15:44
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%6.6%2026-04-04 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.08%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%8.0%2026-04-04 16:20
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%8.5%2026-04-04 16:19
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-04-04 14:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.76%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%9.0%2026-04-04 15:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%9.5%2026-04-04 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%9.5%2026-04-04 16:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 32.82%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.84%10.0%2026-04-04 16:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.84%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%12.9%2026-04-04 16:19