Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.87
assuming max odds 2.06
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Rangers (Local): 52.99%; Calgary Flames (Visit): 47.01%. For New York Rangers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -0.910%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -0.910%E -0.486%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -5.51%E -2.74%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -0.910%E -0.486%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -5.51%E -2.74%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.97%E -1.06%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.16%E -1.53%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.03%E -1.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -5.51%E -2.74%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 21:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 21:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 22:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.56%E -1.96%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.10%E -2.01%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-10 21:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.56%E -1.96%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.10%E -2.01%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-10 21:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.56%E -1.96%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.10%E -2.01%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-10 22:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.09%E -2.26%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-10 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.09%E -2.26%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.04%E -2.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 21:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 22:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 21:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 21:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 21:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 21:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 21:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 21:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.10%E -2.01%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.04%E -2.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.04%E -2.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.51%E -2.74%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.51%E -2.74%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-10 21:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-10 21:33 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-10 21:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.62%E -2.57%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.68%E -3.19%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.68%E -3.19%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.04%E -2.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-10 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.68%E -3.19%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.04%E -2.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-10 21:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.21%E -3.51%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 21:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -12.57%E -7.62%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -12.09%E -6.47%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-10 21:33 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.23% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.77% | -0.1% | 2026-03-10 22:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.38% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 47.62% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-10 21:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72% | 1.7% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.48% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.11% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.41% | 2.6% | 2026-03-10 21:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.48% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.11% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.41% | 2.6% | 2026-03-10 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.48% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.11% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.41% | 2.6% | 2026-03-10 21:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.48% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.11% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.41% | 2.6% | 2026-03-10 21:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.11% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.75% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.13% | 3.9% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.34% | 4.1% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.93% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.70% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.19% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.79% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 21:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 21:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 21:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 21:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 21:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 21:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15% | 7.5% | 2026-03-10 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.22% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43% | 8.5% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.66% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.88% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.46% | 9.3% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.77% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42% | 9.5% | 2026-03-10 21:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.22% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24% | 9.7% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.75% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61% | 10.0% | 2026-03-10 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.92% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.58% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.50% | 11.1% | 2026-03-10 22:54 |