The School of Odds
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New York Rangers v Buffalo Sabres

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Rangers (Local)

Prediction 44.39%2.25fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.651%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.44%44.44%45.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.2250.00%46.52%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Buffalo Sabres (Visit)

Prediction 55.61%1.80fair odd
EV +0.090%
Edge +0.050%
Kelly +0.113%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.20%55.56%55.56%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.721.721.8063.69%58.22%58.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Rangers (Local): 44.39%; Buffalo Sabres (Visit): 55.61%. For Buffalo Sabres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.798. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.800, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.090%.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -5.44%E -2.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV +0.090%E +0.050%K +0.113%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-08 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.02%E -0.574%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-08 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.02%E -0.574%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-08 23:00
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.69%E -1.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 22:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.25%E -1.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 23:00
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.25%E -1.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.25%E -1.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 22:29
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.25%E -1.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 22:59
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.00%E -2.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.25%E -1.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 22:58
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.25%E -1.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 22:59
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 20:40
Bally Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 20:39
ReBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.11%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 22:30
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 23:00
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.80%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 22:59
BetUS🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.22%E -1.48%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.36%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 22:59
Bet Right🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.66%E -1.69%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.36%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 22:59
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.36%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 20:39
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.88%E -2.78%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.36%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 22:55
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.88%E -2.78%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.36%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 22:50
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.88%E -2.78%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.36%E -2.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 22:40
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 22:59
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 23:00
Bovada🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -1.44%E -0.651%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 22:02
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 20:55
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.22%E -1.48%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.66%E -1.69%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 22:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 15:15
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 22:54
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 21:15
Caesars🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.44%E -0.651%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.03%E -3.57%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 21:50
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.03%E -3.57%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 21:15
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.58%E -3.92%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 22:20
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.14%E -4.27%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 15:19
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.14%E -4.27%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 15:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.98%EV -11.21%E -5.61%K -11.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -12.70%E -8.09%K -22.28%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-08 20:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%-0.1%2026-04-08 22:59
Novig◎2.21I 45.25%NM 44.89%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.11%0.8%2026-04-08 23:00
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-04-08 22:59
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-04-08 23:00
ProphetX◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-04-08 23:00
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-04-08 15:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-04-08 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-04-08 22:59
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%1.7%2026-04-08 23:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.18%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%2.9%2026-04-08 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.18%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%2.9%2026-04-08 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.18%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%2.9%2026-04-08 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.18%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%2.9%2026-04-08 22:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.38%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88%3.9%2026-04-08 23:00
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.20%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.27%4.4%2026-04-08 23:00
1xBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.08%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.61%4.7%2026-04-08 22:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.34%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.20%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.7%2026-04-08 22:59
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.28%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%5.0%2026-04-08 22:00
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.28%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%5.0%2026-04-08 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.28%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%5.0%2026-04-08 22:00
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.28%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%5.0%2026-04-08 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%6.5%2026-04-08 20:50
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.90%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%6.6%2026-04-08 22:00
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-04-08 22:00
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%7.8%2026-04-08 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.84%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%8.6%2026-04-08 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.82%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72%8.7%2026-04-08 22:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-04-08 22:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%9.2%2026-04-08 22:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.43%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.85%10.0%2026-04-08 22:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%12.2%2026-04-08 22:00