The School of Odds
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New York Rangers v Anaheim Ducks

Kickoff: 2026-10-19 23:10 UTC

Final: New York Rangers 5–2 Anaheim Ducks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Rangers (Local)

Prediction 57.73%1.73fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%57.69%57.81%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.661.661.7064.52%60.39%60.24%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anaheim Ducks (Visit)

Prediction 42.27%2.37fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.648%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%42.31%42.19%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.262.252.3346.51%44.25%44.44%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Rangers (Local): 57.73%; Anaheim Ducks (Visit): 42.27%. For Anaheim Ducks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.33, with an expected value of -1.51%; they did not produce positive expected value.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -1.86%E -1.09%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -3.62%E -1.59%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-19 23:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.44%E -1.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-19 22:50
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.44%E -1.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-19 22:50
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.44%E -1.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -5.31%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-19 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.01%E -1.79%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -6.16%E -2.77%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-19 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-19 23:00
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-19 17:20
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-19 22:55
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.20%E -1.40%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-19 16:45
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-19 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-19 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-19 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.58%E -2.98%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-19 23:05
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.01%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 15:35
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.01%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 15:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.01%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 15:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -1.51%E -0.648%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-19 19:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -1.51%E -0.648%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-19 19:50
Caesars🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.20%E -1.40%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-19 16:25
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.16%E -2.77%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.16%E -2.77%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.75%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-19 16:08
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.75%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-19 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.75%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-19 21:10
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.75%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-19 21:10
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.75%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-19 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.75%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-19 16:15
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.75%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-19 23:00
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.75%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-19 22:49
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.75%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-19 22:48
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.32%E -3.25%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-19 22:10
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.32%E -3.25%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-19 22:10
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.32%E -3.25%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-19 22:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.32%E -3.25%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.05%E -1.78%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-19 23:00
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.32%E -3.25%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-19 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.32%E -3.25%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-19 21:10
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.32%E -3.25%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.01%E -3.18%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-19 22:55
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-19 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.89%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-19 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -10.52%E -6.79%K -19.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-19 20:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-10-19 23:05
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-10-19 16:15
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-10-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-10-19 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-10-19 22:55
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-10-19 23:05
ProphetX◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-10-19 23:05
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%2.3%2026-10-19 23:05
BetOpenly◎1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%4.0%2026-10-19 22:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 47.09%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-10-19 22:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57%3.0%2026-10-19 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57%3.0%2026-10-19 22:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.57%3.0%2026-10-19 22:10
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.79%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.63%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.58%4.6%2026-10-19 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.34%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%4.6%2026-10-19 23:00
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.7%2026-10-19 22:55
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-10-19 22:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-10-19 22:10
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-10-19 22:09
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%6.1%2026-10-19 22:10
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%6.1%2026-10-19 22:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%6.5%2026-10-19 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.51%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%7.0%2026-10-19 23:05
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-10-19 23:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.67%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%8.4%2026-10-19 22:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%8.8%2026-10-19 23:00
picklebet_au🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%9.5%2026-10-19 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.17%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%10.5%2026-10-19 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.78%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%12.0%2026-10-19 23:01
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 44.98%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.76%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.26%15.2%2026-10-19 23:00