The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

New York Islanders v Tampa Bay Lightning

2026-10-10 23:40 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Islanders (Local)

Prediction 39.54%2.53fair odd
EV +0.030%
Edge +0.012%
Kelly +0.019%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.29%39.49%39.55%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.412.5344.44%41.34%41.49%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Lightning (Visit)

Prediction 60.46%1.65fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%60.51%60.45%61.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.581.6266.67%63.20%63.29%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New York Islanders (Local): 39.54%; Tampa Bay Lightning (Visit): 60.46%. For New York Islanders (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.529. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.530, producing a positive expected value of +0.030%.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +0.030%E +0.012%K +0.019%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-10 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +0.030%E +0.012%K +0.019%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.16%E -0.463%K -0.771%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.26%E -2.04%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-10 16:20
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.16%E -0.463%K -0.771%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.86%E -2.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-10 14:00
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.16%E -0.463%K -0.771%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-10 14:01
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.16%E -0.463%K -0.771%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-10 18:15
BetAnything🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.16%E -0.463%K -0.771%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-10 14:00
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.16%E -0.463%K -0.771%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 18:15
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.13%E -1.28%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.86%E -2.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.13%E -1.28%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 16:35
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.13%E -1.28%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 19:25
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.13%E -1.28%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.13%E -1.28%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 14:00
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.13%E -1.28%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 14:00
Caesars🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.92%E -1.61%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.86%E -2.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 13:52
Paddy Power🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.92%E -1.61%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.86%E -2.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 17:40
DraftKings🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.32%E -1.78%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.86%E -2.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 14:00
FanDuel🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.32%E -1.78%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 17:45
SportsBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.71%E -1.96%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 17:45
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.26%E -2.04%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 14:20
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.26%E -2.04%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 14:18
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.26%E -2.04%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.86%E -2.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 14:00
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:01
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 13:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 17:55
Betsson🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 19:15
NordicBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 19:10
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.26%E -2.04%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 17:34
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.26%E -2.04%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 17:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.05%E -1.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.26%E -2.04%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 20:04
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.26%E -2.04%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.09%E -3.02%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.07%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 14:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.05%E -1.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.04%E -4.91%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.31%E -6.20%K -18.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.97%1.61I 62.11%NM 62.03%0.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Novig◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-10-10 15:40
BetOpenly◎2.57I 38.91%NM 38.66%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.34%0.6%2026-10-10 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-10-10 20:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-10-10 20:05
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-10-10 20:01
Polymarket◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-10-10 14:01
ProphetX◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%1.0%2026-10-10 19:35
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%7.2%2026-10-10 20:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.67%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.77%3.1%2026-10-10 13:59
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.2%2026-10-10 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.2%2026-10-10 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.2%2026-10-10 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.2%2026-10-10 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.72%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-10-10 19:25
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.94%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.8%2026-10-10 19:20
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%5.0%2026-10-10 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-10-10 14:19
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-10-10 14:20
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-10-10 14:20
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%6.2%2026-10-10 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%6.9%2026-10-10 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.48%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.54%6.9%2026-10-10 19:22
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%7.5%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%8.7%2026-10-10 19:25
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%9.3%2026-10-10 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%10.9%2026-10-10 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.18%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.03%14.3%2026-10-10 17:50