The School of Odds
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New York Islanders v Philadelphia Flyers

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Islanders (Local)

Prediction 57.95%1.73fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.00%57.93%59.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.651.661.6965.79%60.51%60.24%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Flyers (Visit)

Prediction 42.05%2.38fair odd
EV -0.341%
Edge -0.144%
Kelly -0.249%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.81%42.00%42.07%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.272.272.3747.62%44.10%44.05%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Islanders (Local): 57.95%; Philadelphia Flyers (Visit): 42.05%. For Philadelphia Flyers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.37, with an expected value of -0.341%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.06%E -1.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.39%E -2.39%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-03 18:23
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -2.06%E -1.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -6.23%E -2.79%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 22:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -2.64%E -1.57%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -3.71%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-03 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -2.64%E -1.57%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -3.71%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-03 23:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.28%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 20:39
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.28%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 19:15
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.28%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 20:45
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.28%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 20:35
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.71%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-03 22:30
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 23:00
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.97%E -2.20%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 22:49
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.39%E -2.39%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 20:15
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.39%E -2.39%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.39%E -2.39%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -7.07%E -3.20%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:48
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.22%E -1.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.49%E -3.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -3.80%E -2.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -0.341%E -0.144%K -0.249%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-03 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.80%E -2.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -4.97%E -2.20%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.80%E -2.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.39%E -2.39%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.80%E -2.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.23%E -2.79%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 22:39
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.28%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.28%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 21:55
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.28%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 21:55
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.28%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.39%E -2.39%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 19:19
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.49%E -3.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.49%E -3.40%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 23:05
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.96%E -3.03%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.39%E -2.39%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.96%E -3.03%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.39%E -2.39%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 21:55
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 22:05
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 22:05
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.54%E -3.40%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 22:05
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.18%E -0.503%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 20:19
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.18%E -0.503%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 22:59
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.39%E -2.39%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 22:04
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.70%E -4.16%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.28%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 23:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -11.92%E -7.84%K -22.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -11.69%E -5.57%K -10.63%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-03 22:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-04-03 22:59
Novig◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-03 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-03 23:00
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-03 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-04-03 23:05
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-03 02:20
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-03 20:14
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-04-03 23:05
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-04-03 23:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%2.9%2026-04-03 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%2.9%2026-04-03 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%2.9%2026-04-03 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%2.9%2026-04-03 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.17%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%4.1%2026-04-03 23:00
Coolbet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.89%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%4.5%2026-04-03 20:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.37%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.62%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.02%4.7%2026-04-03 22:55
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.74%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.47%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.79%4.7%2026-04-03 22:59
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-04-03 23:00
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-04-03 23:00
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-04-03 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-04-03 23:00
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%5.9%2026-04-03 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-04-03 22:49
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%7.2%2026-04-03 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.93%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%8.6%2026-04-03 22:45
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%8.9%2026-04-03 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.56%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%8.9%2026-04-03 22:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%9.0%2026-04-03 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%9.5%2026-04-03 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%9.5%2026-04-03 23:03
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.30%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%11.9%2026-04-03 23:00