The School of Odds
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New York Islanders v New Jersey Devils

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 23:46 UTC

Final: New York Islanders 6–0 New Jersey Devils

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Islanders (Local)

Prediction 44.79%2.23fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.661%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.44%44.92%44.80%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.122.2050.00%47.08%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Jersey Devils (Visit)

Prediction 55.21%1.81fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%55.08%55.20%56.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.731.731.7761.35%57.92%57.80%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Islanders (Local): 44.79%; New Jersey Devils (Visit): 55.21%. For New York Islanders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -1.45%; they did not produce positive expected value.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.45%E -0.661%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.70%E -3.97%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-03 23:40
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.35%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.28%E -1.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-03 23:35
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.35%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-03 23:30
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.35%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-03 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -2.80%E -1.29%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-03 23:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -2.80%E -1.29%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-03 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.69%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-03 11:55
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.69%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-03 23:10
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.69%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-03 13:55
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.69%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-03 02:00
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.69%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-03 16:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.69%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-03 16:05
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.69%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.69%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 16:40
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.14%E -1.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-03 16:00
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.14%E -1.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-03 16:35
Bet Right🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.59%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 23:30
SportsBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.59%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.05%E -2.93%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 16:35
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.04%E -2.38%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.04%E -2.38%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 18:44
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.04%E -2.38%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.05%E -2.93%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 16:35
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.04%E -2.38%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.05%E -2.93%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 16:33
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.04%E -2.38%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.05%E -2.93%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 16:35
Caesars🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.04%E -2.38%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 23:40
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.93%E -2.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.28%E -1.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 23:30
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.93%E -2.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.28%E -1.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 04:40
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.93%E -2.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 19:20
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.93%E -2.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 22:34
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.93%E -2.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-03 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.93%E -2.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-03 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.93%E -2.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-03 15:00
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.93%E -2.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-03 15:00
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.93%E -2.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-03 23:40
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 23:18
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 23:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 23:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -10.41%E -5.21%K -10.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -10.01%E -6.14%K -15.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 14:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%0.3%2026-10-03 23:45
Polymarket◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-10-03 23:45
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-10-03 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-10-03 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-10-03 23:35
ProphetX◎2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%1.8%2026-10-03 23:40
BetOpenly◎2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%2.1%2026-10-03 23:15
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%3.3%2026-10-03 23:40
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%3.3%2026-10-03 23:45

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 32.32%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.4%2026-10-03 23:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.18%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54%3.6%2026-10-03 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.18%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54%3.6%2026-10-03 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.18%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54%3.6%2026-10-03 23:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.98%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.01%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%4.7%2026-10-03 21:38
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.47%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.01%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.52%4.7%2026-10-03 23:23
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.57%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%5.2%2026-10-03 23:30
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.09%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%5.6%2026-10-03 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.09%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%5.6%2026-10-03 23:30
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.09%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%5.6%2026-10-03 23:30
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.09%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%5.6%2026-10-03 23:30
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.68%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%6.5%2026-10-03 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%6.6%2026-10-03 18:45
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.33%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%6.7%2026-10-03 23:30
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-10-03 23:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%9.3%2026-10-03 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%10.2%2026-10-03 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.37%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%12.4%2026-10-03 23:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%12.7%2026-10-03 23:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.77%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%13.9%2026-10-03 23:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.42%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.42%18.6%2026-10-03 23:41