The School of Odds
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New York Islanders v Los Angeles Kings

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Islanders (Local)

Prediction 56.06%1.78fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.21%56.02%56.04%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.711.711.7463.69%58.64%58.48%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Kings (Visit)

Prediction 43.94%2.28fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.707%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%43.98%43.96%44.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.162.2450.00%46.14%46.30%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Islanders (Local): 56.06%; Los Angeles Kings (Visit): 43.94%. For Los Angeles Kings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.24, with an expected value of -1.58%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 21:10
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 23:00
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%EV -3.01%E -1.74%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.69%EV -2.02%E -0.908%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-13 22:40
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.01%E -1.74%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.01%E -1.74%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 22:29
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.57%E -2.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.66%E -2.15%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.57%E -2.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 22:40
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.57%E -2.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.42%E -3.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 22:40
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.57%E -2.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.86%E -3.23%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 22:59
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.57%E -2.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.86%E -3.23%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.57%E -2.07%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.86%E -3.23%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -4.13%E -2.41%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -1.58%E -0.707%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-13 22:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -4.13%E -2.41%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -1.58%E -0.707%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-13 22:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.13%E -2.41%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 18:15
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.13%E -2.41%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 22:55
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.13%E -2.41%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 18:14
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.13%E -2.41%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 18:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.13%E -2.41%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 19:50
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.13%E -2.41%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 20:30
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.13%E -2.41%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 18:15
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.13%E -2.41%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.22%E -1.94%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 19:05
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.13%E -2.41%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 22:29
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.02%E -0.908%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 16:54
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.02%E -0.908%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 16:55
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.46%E -1.11%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 18:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:09
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 22:58
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 19:10
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 19:10
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.74%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 23:00
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.74%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 19:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.74%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 19:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.25%E -3.11%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.66%E -2.15%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 23:00
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.25%E -3.11%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.54%E -2.58%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.81%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 16:54
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.37%E -3.82%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 19:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -11.98%E -7.63%K -21.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.98%EV -12.13%E -6.06%K -12.13%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-13 22:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.79I 55.87%NM 56.23%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.77%-0.7%2026-03-13 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-03-13 23:00
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-03-13 23:00
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-03-13 23:00
ProphetX◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-03-13 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-03-13 23:00
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-13 18:15
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-03-13 23:00
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-03-13 23:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-03-13 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-03-13 16:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-03-13 21:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.84%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%3.2%2026-03-13 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.13%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.76%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%3.9%2026-03-13 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.47%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.32%4.6%2026-03-13 22:59
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.07%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.98%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.95%4.7%2026-03-13 22:59
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.38%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%4.8%2026-03-13 22:30
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-03-13 16:54
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-03-13 17:00
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-03-13 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%5.5%2026-03-13 22:59
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%6.4%2026-03-13 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-03-13 16:44
LeoVegas🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.09%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%7.7%2026-03-13 16:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%8.6%2026-03-13 22:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.95%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%8.9%2026-03-13 23:00
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-03-13 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.67%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%9.0%2026-03-13 22:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.90%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%11.1%2026-03-13 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.90%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%11.1%2026-03-13 22:57
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%14.2%2026-03-13 23:00