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New York Islanders v Florida Panthers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Islanders (Local)
Prediction 62.75%1.59fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.942%
Kelly -2.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%62.60%62.83%63.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.531.531.5766.67%65.23%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Florida Panthers (Visit)
Prediction 37.25%2.68fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.89%37.40%37.17%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.542.552.6142.02%39.40%39.22%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Islanders (Local): 62.75%; Florida Panthers (Visit): 37.25%. For New York Islanders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.57, with an expected value of -1.48%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.48%E -0.942%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.35%E -4.77%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 17:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.73%E -1.76%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-28 02:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.78%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.78%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-28 02:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.78%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-28 02:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.15%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-28 02:41 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -3.53%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-28 02:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 02:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 18:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 02:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -7.25%E -2.91%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 02:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -3.36%E -2.18%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -7.25%E -2.91%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 02:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.15%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.15%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.15%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 02:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.15%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.90%E -1.51%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -5.39%E -2.12%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -6.51%E -2.59%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -6.51%E -2.59%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 02:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-28 02:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.74%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.99%E -2.61%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.74%E -3.57%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-28 02:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.15%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 02:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -5.39%E -2.12%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.62%E -3.04%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.88%E -2.75%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 02:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.87%E -3.91%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.60%E -4.42%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-28 02:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 65.00% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 35.00% | -0.1% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 1.2% | 2026-03-28 02:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00% | 2.1% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00% | 2.1% | 2026-03-28 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00% | 2.1% | 2026-03-28 02:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76% | 2.4% | 2026-03-28 02:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54% | 3.7% | 2026-03-28 02:45 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.01% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.48% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.51% | 3.1% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.10% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.10% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.10% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.10% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.04% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.47% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49% | 4.6% | 2026-03-28 02:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08% | 5.3% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92% | 6.4% | 2026-03-28 02:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07% | 7.9% | 2026-03-27 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17% | 7.9% | 2026-03-28 02:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96% | 8.9% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96% | 8.9% | 2026-03-28 02:46 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.84% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37% | 9.0% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.42% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02% | 10.0% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.42% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02% | 10.0% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.30% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.13% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57% | 16.6% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |