Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Jersey Devils v Montréal Canadiens

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Jersey Devils (Local)

Prediction 46.82%2.14fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.798%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%46.87%46.75%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.032.052.1053.19%49.16%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Montréal Canadiens (Visit)

Prediction 53.18%1.88fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.13%53.25%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.801.801.8460.61%55.69%55.56%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Jersey Devils (Local): 46.82%; Montréal Canadiens (Visit): 53.18%. For New Jersey Devils (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -1.68%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.68%E -0.798%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 17:45
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.68%E -0.798%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 17:45
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.61%E -1.26%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.15%E -1.17%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 22:55
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.61%E -1.26%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.55%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.68%E -1.47%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.55%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.68%E -1.47%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 22:50
ReBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.55%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 22:04
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.55%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 19:14
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 15:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 23:00
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:00
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 17:19
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 17:20
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 17:19
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 15:20
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 17:19
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 14:30
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 19:40
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.81%E -2.69%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 22:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.34%E -3.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 17:19
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 23:04
SportsBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.48%E -2.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.34%E -3.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 22:44
Bovada🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.42%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.21%E -1.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 21:42
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.42%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.34%E -3.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 17:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.42%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.34%E -3.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 17:19
Betsson🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.89%E -2.93%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 23:04
NordicBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.89%E -2.93%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 23:04
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.68%E -1.47%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 23:00
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.68%E -1.47%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 21:44
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.21%E -1.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 22:00
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 15:44
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 22:48
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 21:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 23:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -11.98%E -6.37%K -13.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.26%EV -12.26%E -7.43%K -18.85%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%-0.0%2026-04-04 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-04-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-04-04 23:05
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-04-04 23:00
ProphetX2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-04-04 23:05
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-04-04 23:00
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-04 23:05
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-04-04 23:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.54%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-04-04 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.54%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-04-04 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.54%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-04-04 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.54%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-04-04 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.25%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.87%4.1%2026-04-04 23:00
Coolbet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.91%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%4.6%2026-04-04 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.94%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%4.6%2026-04-04 22:54
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.46%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.00%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.53%4.7%2026-04-04 22:55
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%5.6%2026-04-04 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%5.6%2026-04-04 17:45
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%5.6%2026-04-04 17:45
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%5.6%2026-04-04 17:45
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-04-04 17:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-04-04 22:34
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%7.3%2026-04-04 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-04-04 22:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%8.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%8.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%8.8%2026-04-04 22:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%9.8%2026-04-04 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%9.8%2026-04-04 22:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.72%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%12.9%2026-04-04 17:45