La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.07
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -0.194%E -0.094%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -0.194%E -0.094%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.16%E -0.565%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.16%E -0.565%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.16%E -0.565%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.16%E -0.565%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.64%E -0.804%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -1.64%E -0.804%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Bovada | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.60%E -1.29%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.75%E -3.16%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 21:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.60%E -1.29%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 23:30 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 16:20 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 16:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.50%E -2.81%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 16:20 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 17:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 17:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 17:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.68%E -1.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 16:25 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.43%E -3.87%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 17:05 |
| Neds | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.43%E -3.87%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 17:05 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.14%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.09%E -0.571%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.39%E -4.42%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.61%E -0.847%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -12.73%E -7.03%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -11.45%E -6.69%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-03 17:10 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87% | 0.1% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Polymarket | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 1.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Novig | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16% | 2.0% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| BetOpenly | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68% | 3.5% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.02% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.02% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.02% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 16:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.02% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 21:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.55% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.63% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.50% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.18% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.32% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 18:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.35% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.67% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.98% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.97% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 16:20 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 16:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 16:19 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.94% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98% | 6.2% | 2026-03-03 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38% | 6.9% | 2026-03-03 20:50 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.10% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.07% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.07% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.08% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 21:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.33% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.92% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.49% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.16% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.09% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76% | 10.8% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95% | 13.9% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |