L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.07
avec la cote maximale 1.91
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -0.194%E -0.094%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -0.194%E -0.094%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.16%E -0.565%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.16%E -0.565%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.16%E -0.565%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.16%E -0.565%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.64%E -0.804%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -1.64%E -0.804%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Bovada | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.60%E -1.29%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.75%E -3.16%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 21:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.60%E -1.29%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 23:30 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 16:20 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 16:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.50%E -2.81%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 16:20 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 17:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 17:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 17:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.68%E -1.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 16:25 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.43%E -3.87%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 17:05 |
| Neds | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.43%E -3.87%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 17:05 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.14%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.09%E -0.571%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.39%E -4.42%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.61%E -0.847%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -12.73%E -7.03%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -11.45%E -6.69%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-03 17:10 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87% | 0.1% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Polymarket | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 1.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Novig | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16% | 2.0% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| BetOpenly | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68% | 3.5% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.02% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.02% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.02% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 16:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.02% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 21:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.55% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.63% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.50% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.18% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.32% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 18:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.35% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.67% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.98% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.97% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 16:20 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 16:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.13% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 16:19 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.94% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98% | 6.2% | 2026-03-03 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38% | 6.9% | 2026-03-03 20:50 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.10% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.07% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.07% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.08% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 21:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.33% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.92% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.49% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.16% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.09% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76% | 10.8% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95% | 13.9% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |