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New Jersey Devils v Buffalo Sabres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New Jersey Devils (Local)
Prediction 50.37%1.99fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.913%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.46%50.46%51.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.901.911.9557.80%52.75%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Buffalo Sabres (Visit)
Prediction 49.63%2.01fair odd
EV -0.242%
Edge -0.120%
Kelly -0.239%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.59%49.54%49.54%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.911.912.0156.18%52.32%52.36%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Jersey Devils (Local): 50.37%; Buffalo Sabres (Visit): 49.63%. For Buffalo Sabres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.015. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.010, with an expected value of -0.242%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.78%E -0.913%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.72%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.72%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 23:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.242%E -0.120%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 23:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 23:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 23:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 23:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 23:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 23:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.82%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -12.86%E -7.43%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -11.66%E -6.55%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.75% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 49.25% | 0.0% | 2026-02-25 23:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 0.8% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 0.8% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 0.8% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00% | 1.0% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13% | 1.3% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.17% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.90% | 2.7% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.17% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.90% | 2.7% | 2026-02-25 23:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.17% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.90% | 2.7% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.17% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.90% | 2.7% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.06% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 3.0% | 2026-02-25 23:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 23:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 23:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.33% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 23:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07% | 8.4% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.77% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.97% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26% | 8.8% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 9.0% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.73% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34% | 9.9% | 2026-02-25 23:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.70% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.88% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42% | 10.9% | 2026-02-26 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.80% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38% | 11.1% | 2026-02-25 23:57 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74% | 11.3% | 2026-02-25 23:59 |