The School of Odds
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New Jersey Devils v Anaheim Ducks

Kickoff: 2026-10-22 23:08 UTC

Final: New Jersey Devils 4–1 Anaheim Ducks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Jersey Devils (Local)

Prediction 65.70%1.52fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.971%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.16%65.63%65.77%66.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.451.451.5072.46%68.82%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anaheim Ducks (Visit)

Prediction 34.30%2.92fair odd
EV -0.174%
Edge -0.060%
Kelly -0.091%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.26%34.37%34.23%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.762.792.9138.46%36.25%35.91%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Jersey Devils (Local): 65.70%; Anaheim Ducks (Visit): 34.30%. For Anaheim Ducks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.91, with an expected value of -0.174%; they did not produce positive expected value.

20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -1.46%E -0.971%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-22 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -2.23%E -0.783%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-22 21:55
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-22 22:35
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-22 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.09%E -3.43%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -3.43%E -2.33%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -4.63%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-22 21:25
Caesars🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -3.43%E -2.33%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -4.63%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-22 16:20
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.43%E -2.33%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 22:50
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.43%E -2.33%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 22:55
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.08%E -2.80%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-22 14:20
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.08%E -2.80%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.38%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-22 14:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -0.174%E -0.060%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-22 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-22 18:00
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-22 21:10
Paddy Power🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-22 17:55
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-22 17:54
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-22 21:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-22 17:59
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-22 22:45
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-22 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-22 23:05
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-22 23:04
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-22 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -4.29%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 21:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -4.98%E -1.80%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 17:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.38%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-22 17:55
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.38%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-22 17:55
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.09%E -3.43%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-22 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.09%E -3.43%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-22 23:00
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -10.12%E -3.86%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-22 22:50
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -10.12%E -3.86%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-22 22:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.23%E -0.783%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-22 14:25
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-22 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-22 17:55
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 17:25
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 17:24
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.06%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -9.34%E -6.77%K -24.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -10.81%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-22 22:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-10-22 23:05
ProphetX◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-10-22 23:05
Novig◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.89%2.99I 33.44%NM 33.11%1.0%2026-10-22 23:00
Polymarket◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-10-22 23:05
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-10-22 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-10-22 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-10-22 23:05
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-10-22 23:05
BetOpenly◎1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%3.7%2026-10-22 22:35

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 54.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-10-22 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-10-22 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-10-22 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-10-22 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28%4.4%2026-10-22 22:55
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.67%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.67%4.7%2026-10-22 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%4.9%2026-10-22 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.2%2026-10-22 23:05
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.2%2026-10-22 23:05
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.2%2026-10-22 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%6.4%2026-10-22 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%6.4%2026-10-22 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%6.7%2026-10-22 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.31%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.09%7.0%2026-10-22 23:05
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%7.3%2026-10-22 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%8.9%2026-10-22 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%9.2%2026-10-22 21:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%10.5%2026-10-22 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.45%12.3%2026-10-22 23:03
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.13%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.38%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.49%14.9%2026-10-22 22:50