The School of Odds
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Nashville Predators v San Jose Sharks

Kickoff: 2026-10-16 00:09 UTC

Final: Nashville Predators 2–3 San Jose Sharks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nashville Predators (Local)

Prediction 53.68%1.86fair odd
EV +0.389%
Edge +0.208%
Kelly +0.447%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%53.61%53.66%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.781.781.8760.61%56.04%56.18%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose Sharks (Visit)

Prediction 46.32%2.16fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%46.39%46.34%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.052.052.1051.28%48.86%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nashville Predators (Local): 53.68%; San Jose Sharks (Visit): 46.32%. For Nashville Predators (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.389%.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +0.389%E +0.208%K +0.447%G +0.002%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -9.68%E -4.97%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 00:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -0.148%E -0.079%K -0.172%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -6.44%E -3.19%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-16 00:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -0.148%E -0.079%K -0.172%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -6.44%E -3.19%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-16 00:05
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.76%E -0.961%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.74%E -1.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-16 00:05
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-16 00:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-16 00:05
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-16 00:05
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-16 00:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 19:40
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.37%E -3.68%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-16 00:00
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.68%E -4.97%K -10.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.37%E -1.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.68%E -4.97%K -10.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 00:05
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.91%E -2.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.98%E -2.95%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 00:05
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.66%E -1.76%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 20:34
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.66%E -1.76%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 20:34
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.66%E -1.76%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 20:34
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.13%E -1.99%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-16 00:00
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.59%E -2.23%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 19:40
Caesars🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.44%E -3.19%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-16 00:05
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.44%E -3.19%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-16 00:05
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.74%E -1.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-15 19:45
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.74%E -1.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-15 20:15
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.74%E -1.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 00:05
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.74%E -1.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-15 19:40
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.74%E -1.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-15 19:43
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.59%E -2.23%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 19:40
TAB🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 00:00
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 00:00
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 00:04
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.98%E -2.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 00:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.52%E -3.13%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.66%E -1.76%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-15 21:33
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.05%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-15 19:55
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.05%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-15 23:48
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.05%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.05%E -2.46%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 00:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -11.42%E -6.92%K -17.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.68%E -4.97%K -10.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-15 22:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.81%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.19%-0.3%2026-10-15 23:59
ProphetX◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%0.3%2026-10-16 00:00
Novig◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-10-16 00:05
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-10-16 00:05
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-10-16 00:05
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-10-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-10-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-10-16 00:05
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%2.3%2026-10-16 00:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.45%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.17%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.5%2026-10-15 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%3.5%2026-10-15 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%3.5%2026-10-15 20:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%3.5%2026-10-15 20:35
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.22%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.61%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.16%4.7%2026-10-15 23:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.62%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.94%4.8%2026-10-16 00:05
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%5.2%2026-10-15 23:55
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.54%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.14%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-10-15 20:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.54%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.14%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-10-15 20:34
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.54%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.14%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-10-15 20:34
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.54%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.14%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-10-15 20:35
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-10-15 20:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%6.7%2026-10-15 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%7.0%2026-10-16 00:00
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.52%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%7.3%2026-10-16 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%8.5%2026-10-16 00:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.53%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%9.4%2026-10-15 21:29
picklebet_au🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.46%10.0%2026-10-16 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.98%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%10.9%2026-10-16 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%12.1%2026-10-16 00:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.62%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.70%14.4%2026-10-16 00:00