L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.94
avec la cote maximale 1.97
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.40%E -1.24%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.60%E -1.33%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| ReBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 23:59 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 00:03 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.92%E -2.60%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.92%E -2.60%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 00:03 |
| SportsBet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.92%E -2.60%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| GTbets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| Bovada | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 00:03 |
| BetAnything | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.11%E -1.07%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| Bally Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.11%E -1.07%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.60%E -1.33%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 23:54 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-27 00:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.94%E -4.34%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -12.97%E -7.50%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -11.55%E -6.49%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-27 00:00 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.25% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.75% | -0.5% | 2026-03-26 23:59 |
| ProphetX | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 0.8% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.3% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.3% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| Novig | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75% | 1.5% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.5% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| 1xBet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20% | 4.5% | 2026-03-26 23:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.31% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.24% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.24% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.24% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.24% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44% | 6.7% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| TABtouch | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.21% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31% | 6.7% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| Betway | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.67% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30% | 8.6% | 2026-03-26 23:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30% | 8.6% | 2026-03-26 23:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.45% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 00:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28% | 9.3% | 2026-03-27 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.48% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.88% | 10.1% | 2026-03-27 00:02 |