La escuela de los momios

Nashville Predators v New Jersey Devils

Inicio: 2026-03-27 00:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Nashville Predators (Local)

Predicción 50.31%1.99momio equitativo
EV -2.40%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -2.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.87%50.44%50.26%51.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.881.901.9457.80%53.07%52.63%51.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New Jersey Devils (Visitante)

Predicción 49.69%2.01momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -2.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.43%49.56%49.74%50.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.921.921.9756.18%52.04%52.22%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.40%E -1.24%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.60%E -1.33%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-27 00:05
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-27 00:05
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-27 00:04
ReBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 23:59
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 00:05
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 00:05
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 00:05
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 00:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 00:04
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 00:03
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 00:04
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 00:05
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 00:05
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 00:04
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 00:04
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 00:04
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 00:04
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 00:04
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 00:05
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 00:05
DraftKings1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.92%E -2.60%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 00:05
MyBookie.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.92%E -2.60%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 00:03
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.92%E -2.60%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 00:04
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 00:04
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 00:04
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 00:04
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 00:03
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 00:05
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.11%E -1.07%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 00:04
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.11%E -1.07%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 00:05
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.60%E -1.33%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:54
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 00:04
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 00:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 00:04
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 00:03
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.94%E -4.34%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 00:04
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -12.97%E -7.50%K -17.76%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -11.55%E -6.49%K -14.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-27 00:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 50.25%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.75%-0.5%2026-03-26 23:59
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%0.8%2026-03-27 00:05
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-03-27 00:05
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-03-27 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.3%2026-03-27 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.3%2026-03-27 00:05
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-03-27 00:05
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-03-27 00:05
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-03-27 00:05

Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)

Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.

CorredorOpción 1Opción 2Opción 3Margen ▲Actualizado
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-03-27 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-03-27 00:05
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-03-27 00:04
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-03-27 00:04
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%4.4%2026-03-27 00:05
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20%4.5%2026-03-26 23:59
Marathon Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-03-26 23:59
Coolbet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.31%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%5.1%2026-03-27 00:05
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.24%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-03-27 00:05
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.24%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-03-27 00:04
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.24%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-03-27 00:05
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.24%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-03-27 00:05
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%6.7%2026-03-27 00:04
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.21%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-03-27 00:05
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 40.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%7.5%2026-03-27 00:04
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.67%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%7.7%2026-03-27 00:05
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%8.6%2026-03-26 23:59
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%8.6%2026-03-26 23:59
Codere (IT)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.45%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%8.8%2026-03-27 00:00
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%9.0%2026-03-27 00:04
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%9.3%2026-03-27 00:05
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.48%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.88%10.1%2026-03-27 00:02