Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nashville Predators v Montréal Canadiens

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nashville Predators (Local)

Prediction 47.05%2.13fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.794%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.23%47.10%46.87%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.032.032.0951.28%49.34%49.26%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Montréal Canadiens (Visit)

Prediction 52.95%1.89fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -3.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%52.90%53.13%53.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.801.801.8357.14%55.44%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nashville Predators (Local): 47.05%; Montréal Canadiens (Visit): 52.95%. For Nashville Predators (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.09, with an expected value of -1.66%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -1.66%E -0.794%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -4.17%E -2.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-27 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -1.66%E -0.794%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -4.17%E -2.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-27 22:35
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -1.66%E -0.794%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -4.17%E -2.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-27 22:10
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.60%E -1.26%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.75%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 22:35
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.54%E -1.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.17%E -2.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 22:20
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:10
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:10
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:15
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:25
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:30
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:17
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.54%E -1.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:20
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.01%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 22:20
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.01%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.22%E -2.92%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 21:10
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.48%E -2.21%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.22%E -2.92%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 22:20
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.48%E -2.21%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.22%E -2.92%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 22:20
ReBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.48%E -2.21%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.22%E -2.92%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.48%E -2.21%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.22%E -2.92%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:20
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:30
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.95%E -2.45%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 22:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 16:00
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 16:35
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 17:09
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:50
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:50
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.11%E -1.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 17:00
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 16:34
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 16:00
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.89%E -2.95%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.84%E -3.45%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 02:55
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.84%E -3.45%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 02:50
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.34%E -4.20%K -9.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 22:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%-0.0%2026-03-28 02:30
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-03-27 13:55
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.0%2026-03-27 23:35
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-03-27 22:15
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%2.4%2026-03-28 00:15
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%3.6%2026-03-28 02:59
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%8.6%2026-03-28 02:30

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.69%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.84%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.47%3.0%2026-03-27 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.63%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90%4.0%2026-03-27 21:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.63%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90%4.0%2026-03-27 21:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.63%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90%4.0%2026-03-27 21:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.63%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.90%4.0%2026-03-27 21:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.49%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%4.3%2026-03-27 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.64%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.89%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-03-27 22:15
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%4.9%2026-03-27 21:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%4.9%2026-03-27 21:10
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%4.9%2026-03-27 21:10
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%4.9%2026-03-27 21:10
Coolbet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-03-27 22:59
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%6.6%2026-03-27 21:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%6.8%2026-03-28 02:20
LeoVegas🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%7.5%2026-03-27 21:10
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-03-27 22:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%8.9%2026-03-28 02:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.76%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%9.7%2026-03-27 22:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%9.9%2026-03-28 02:30
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%9.9%2026-03-28 02:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%11.0%2026-03-28 02:31
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.47%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.01%17.5%2026-03-28 02:30