La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.11
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83
20 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -1.65%E -0.784%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 23:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 16:40 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 23:41 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 20:39 |
| ReBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.99%E -1.93%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-16 23:53 |
| Bet Right | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.99%E -1.93%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:39 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:39 |
| GTbets | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:39 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 16:30 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:55 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 18:10 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 23:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 23:44 |
| Betsson | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.38%E -2.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.43%E -2.48%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.38%E -2.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.43%E -2.48%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.83%E -1.55%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 23:45 |
| Neds | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 22:54 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -12.37%E -6.58%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.26%EV -11.91%E -7.22%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-16 16:29 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 23:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 23:55 |
| ProphetX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| Polymarket | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-16 23:49 |
| Smarkets | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 1.4% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| BetOpenly | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 1.7% | 2026-04-16 23:50 |
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-04-16 23:55 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-04-16 15:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-04-16 20:04 |
| 1xBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.75% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.89% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| Unibet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 15:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 15:59 |
| Casumo | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.03% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 21:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.24% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.68% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 18:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15% | 7.5% | 2026-04-16 23:24 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.70% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.19% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 23:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.61% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 23:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36% | 9.1% | 2026-04-16 16:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.89% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 23:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.30% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.18% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.52% | 12.4% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |