L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.11
avec la cote maximale 1.83
20 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -1.65%E -0.784%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 23:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 16:40 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 23:41 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 20:39 |
| ReBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.99%E -1.93%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-16 23:53 |
| Bet Right | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.99%E -1.93%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:39 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:39 |
| GTbets | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:39 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 16:30 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:55 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 18:10 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 23:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 23:44 |
| Betsson | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.38%E -2.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.43%E -2.48%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.38%E -2.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.43%E -2.48%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.83%E -1.55%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 23:45 |
| Neds | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 23:34 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 22:54 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -12.37%E -6.58%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.26%EV -11.91%E -7.22%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-16 16:29 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 23:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 23:55 |
| ProphetX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| Polymarket | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-16 23:49 |
| Smarkets | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 1.4% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| BetOpenly | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 1.7% | 2026-04-16 23:50 |
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-04-16 23:55 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-04-16 15:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-04-16 20:04 |
| 1xBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.75% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.89% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| Unibet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 15:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 15:59 |
| Casumo | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.03% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 21:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.24% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.68% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 18:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15% | 7.5% | 2026-04-16 23:24 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.70% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.19% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 23:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.61% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 23:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.68% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36% | 9.1% | 2026-04-16 16:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.89% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 23:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.30% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.18% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.52% | 12.4% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |