La scuola delle quote

Montréal Canadiens v Washington Capitals

Inizio: 2026-03-01 00:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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35 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Montréal Canadiens (Casa)

Previsione 59.33%1.69quota equa
EV -2.10%
Vantaggio -1.27%
Kelly -3.23%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.14%59.38%59.26%60.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.611.621.6567.57%62.12%61.73%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Washington Capitals (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.67%2.46quota equa
EV -0.368%
Vantaggio -0.150%
Kelly -0.254%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.55%40.62%40.74%41.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.172.352.352.4546.08%42.53%42.55%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-02-28 23:54
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.84%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 23:04
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 16:45
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 21:39
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.03%E -1.71%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 08:14
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 16:00
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 08:14
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 17:34
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 18:09
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 23:30
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 13:26
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.84%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 16:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 18:09
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 18:09
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 19:54
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.87%E -3.00%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:34
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.87%E -3.00%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:34
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 23:49
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.368%E -0.150%K -0.254%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-28 20:49
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.368%E -0.150%K -0.254%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-28 20:50
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -1.59%E -0.656%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 22:49
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 22:54
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.62%E -1.53%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.62%E -1.53%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 18:09
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 23:34
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.84%E -2.07%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 19:49
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -1.18%E -0.486%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 22:54
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -1.18%E -0.486%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 22:54
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 09:20
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 20:43
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.07%E -3.17%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 23:49
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 19:49
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 22:55
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -12.19%E -8.23%K -25.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -11.75%E -5.42%K -10.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-28 22:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%-0.2%2026-02-28 23:39
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-02-28 23:54
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-02-28 23:54
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-02-28 23:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-02-28 23:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-02-28 23:54
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.41%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.59%1.4%2026-02-28 23:54
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-02-28 23:54

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 49.12%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%3.3%2026-02-28 22:54
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 49.12%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%3.3%2026-02-28 22:54
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 49.12%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%3.3%2026-02-28 22:54
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 49.12%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%3.3%2026-02-28 22:54
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.25%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.60%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.16%3.8%2026-02-28 19:54
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.63%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07%4.7%2026-02-28 23:54
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.90%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.15%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.95%4.7%2026-02-28 23:24
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%5.1%2026-02-28 22:54
Coolbet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.74%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%5.3%2026-02-28 22:38
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-02-28 22:54
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-02-28 22:54
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-02-28 22:54
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%6.4%2026-02-28 22:54
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%6.8%2026-02-28 19:19
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 49.00%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%8.0%2026-02-28 22:54
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%8.4%2026-02-28 15:45
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-02-28 16:00
Codere (IT)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-02-28 19:54
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%9.3%2026-02-28 19:54
Parions Sport (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.80%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.42%10.1%2026-02-28 23:49
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.80%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%10.7%2026-02-28 23:49
Betclic (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%10.9%2026-02-28 23:33