La scuola delle quote

Montréal Canadiens v San Jose Sharks

Inizio: 2026-03-14 23:20 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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33 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Montréal Canadiens (Casa)

Previsione 58.32%1.71quota equa
EV -2.60%
Vantaggio -1.56%
Kelly -3.89%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.14%58.32%58.22%60.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.631.621.6764.52%61.41%61.73%59.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Jose Sharks (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.68%2.40quota equa
EV +2.11%
Vantaggio +0.863%
Kelly +1.46%
Crescita +0.031%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.05%41.68%41.78%42.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.312.302.4545.45%43.30%43.48%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

19 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (33 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -8.44%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +2.11%E +0.863%K +1.46%G +0.031%4.5%2026-03-14 23:15
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -9.60%E -6.20%K -17.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -0.804%E -0.338%K -0.582%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 23:15
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.77%E -2.29%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.22%E -0.515%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-14 23:15
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.22%E -0.515%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:14
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.77%E -2.29%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -1.64%E -0.694%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-14 23:08
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.77%E -2.29%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -1.64%E -0.694%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-14 23:08
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -1.64%E -0.694%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 23:15
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.77%E -2.29%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-14 23:15
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.77%E -2.29%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-14 23:06
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:15
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:07
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.69%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.05%E -0.874%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 23:08
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.77%E -2.29%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.47%E -1.06%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 23:06
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.10%E -3.79%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.89%E -1.24%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 23:03
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.72%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 23:15
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 23:14
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.77%E -2.29%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 23:14
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 23:14
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 23:15
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 23:15
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.69%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.14%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 23:15
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.39%E -2.37%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 23:04
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.94%E -3.03%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.39%E -2.37%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 23:03
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.77%E -2.29%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 23:11
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.77%E -2.29%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.77%E -2.29%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 23:15
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.77%E -2.29%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 23:14
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 23:05
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.22%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 23:15
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.64%E -2.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.77%E -2.29%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 23:14
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.77%E -2.29%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 23:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-14 23:15
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-14 23:14
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%3.0%2026-03-14 23:14
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%3.5%2026-03-14 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%7.7%2026-03-14 23:15
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 57.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.63%9.6%2026-03-14 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.63%9.6%2026-03-14 23:15
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 57.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.63%9.6%2026-03-14 23:15

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (19)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.58%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%2.9%2026-03-14 23:15
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.58%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%2.9%2026-03-14 23:15
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.50%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%4.1%2026-03-14 23:15
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.43%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.82%5.4%2026-03-14 23:15
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.43%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.82%5.4%2026-03-14 23:15
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%5.6%2026-03-14 23:15
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 49.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%6.2%2026-03-14 23:15
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%6.8%2026-03-14 23:15
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%7.2%2026-03-14 23:15
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%8.9%2026-03-14 23:15
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%9.3%2026-03-14 23:15
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%9.3%2026-03-14 23:15
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%9.3%2026-03-14 23:15
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%9.5%2026-03-14 23:01
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.55%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.49%9.8%2026-03-14 23:13
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.31%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.89%10.1%2026-03-14 23:05
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.42%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%10.1%2026-03-14 23:14
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%11.3%2026-03-14 23:15
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 45.50%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.81%16.9%2026-03-14 23:15