Idioma:Español
Montréal Canadiens v San Jose Sharks
Resultado del partido
Montréal Canadiens (Local)
Predicción 64.43%1.55momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -5.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.41%64.39%64.44%65.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.481.481.5169.44%67.39%67.57%66.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
San Jose Sharks (Visitante)
Predicción 35.57%2.81momio equitativo
EV -2.18%
Ventaja -0.791%
Kelly -1.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.52%35.61%35.56%36.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.672.702.7539.22%37.42%37.04%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Montréal Canadiens (Local): 64.43%; San Jose Sharks (Visitante): 35.57%. Para San Jose Sharks (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.81. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.75, con un valor esperado de -2.18%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
18 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.71%E -1.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -3.24%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-19 19:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -2.71%E -1.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -3.24%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-19 19:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -2.71%E -1.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -5.02%E -1.88%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-19 19:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-19 19:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-19 20:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-19 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-19 16:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-19 16:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-19 19:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%EV -4.00%E -2.69%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%EV -3.60%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-19 16:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.00%E -2.69%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-19 15:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.00%E -2.69%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-19 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.00%E -2.69%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-19 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.00%E -2.69%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-19 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.00%E -2.69%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -4.67%E -1.74%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-19 16:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-19 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-19 15:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-19 17:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-19 17:43 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-19 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-19 19:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-19 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-19 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.73%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-19 19:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-19 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.51%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-19 19:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.29%E -3.60%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -4.67%E -1.74%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-19 17:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.18%E -0.791%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-19 18:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -6.58%E -4.54%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -8.58%E -3.34%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-19 19:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -7.22%E -5.02%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-19 17:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -7.22%E -5.02%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-19 17:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-10-19 15:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.8% | 2026-10-19 19:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10% | 5.5% | 2026-10-19 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55% | 9.4% | 2026-10-19 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55% | 9.4% | 2026-10-19 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.78% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22% | 10.4% | 2026-10-19 19:35 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (18)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.23% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22% | 3.0% | 2026-10-19 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.23% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22% | 3.0% | 2026-10-19 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.23% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22% | 3.0% | 2026-10-19 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.23% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22% | 3.0% | 2026-10-19 17:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 21.01% | 3.0% | 2026-10-19 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.81% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.19% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01% | 4.6% | 2026-10-19 18:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18% | 5.4% | 2026-10-19 17:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18% | 5.4% | 2026-10-19 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18% | 5.4% | 2026-10-19 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.15% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57% | 5.7% | 2026-10-19 17:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.29% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98% | 6.5% | 2026-10-19 17:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.29% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98% | 6.5% | 2026-10-19 17:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.55% | 7.0% | 2026-10-19 19:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83% | 9.1% | 2026-10-19 19:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24% | 9.8% | 2026-10-19 19:35 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.55% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87% | 10.6% | 2026-10-19 19:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 51.85% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.90% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.25% | 16.2% | 2026-10-19 19:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 52.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.24% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.43% | 16.5% | 2026-10-19 19:35 |