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Montréal Canadiens v Minnesota Wild

2026-11-11 00:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Montréal Canadiens (Local)

Prediction 47.40%2.11fair odd
EV -0.926%
Edge -0.443%
Kelly -0.849%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.41%47.48%47.42%49.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.002.002.0951.81%49.93%50.00%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Wild (Visit)

Prediction 52.60%1.90fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.595%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.91%52.52%52.58%53.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.821.821.8857.14%55.04%54.95%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Montréal Canadiens (Local): 47.40%; Minnesota Wild (Visit): 52.60%. For Montréal Canadiens (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.09, with an expected value of -0.926%; they do not produce positive expected value.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -0.926%E -0.443%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -4.80%E -2.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-09 19:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -0.926%E -0.443%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -4.80%E -2.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-09 19:15
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.82%E -1.38%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.70%E -1.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.8%2026-11-09 20:40
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.82%E -1.38%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-09 19:15
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.82%E -1.38%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-09 20:39
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.82%E -1.38%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-09 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.82%E -1.38%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-09 17:15
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.82%E -1.38%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-09 19:15
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.30%E -1.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-09 20:10
Caesars🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -3.77%E -1.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-09 19:20
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -3.77%E -1.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.85%E -3.27%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 20:45
Bovada🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.28%E -2.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-09 21:00
Bet Right🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -4.72%E -2.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.22%E -1.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-09 21:15
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.19%E -2.60%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-09 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.19%E -2.60%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-09 19:30
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.19%E -2.60%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-09 19:30
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.19%E -2.60%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-09 19:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.19%E -2.60%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-09 20:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.60%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-09 18:45
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.60%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-09 16:15
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.60%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-09 16:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.60%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-09 16:15
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.19%E -2.60%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.33%E -2.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-09 20:34
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.14%E -3.10%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.70%E -1.46%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-09 16:09
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.14%E -3.10%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 21:40
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.14%E -3.10%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 21:39
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.14%E -3.10%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.75%E -2.05%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 21:40
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -7.09%E -3.62%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.28%E -2.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-09 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -7.09%E -3.62%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.28%E -2.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-09 19:30
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -7.56%E -3.88%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.12%E -0.595%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-09 21:05
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -7.56%E -3.88%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.12%E -0.595%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-09 21:10
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -7.56%E -3.88%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.12%E -0.595%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-09 21:05
ReBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -8.04%E -4.14%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-09 19:15
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.51%E -4.41%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-09 17:55
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.51%E -4.41%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -7.96%E -4.55%K -10.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-09 17:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-11-09 19:20
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-11-09 20:05
Polymarket◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-11-09 16:10
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 47.93%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.07%10.4%2026-11-09 20:40

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.47%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.77%3.1%2026-11-09 20:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-11-09 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-11-09 21:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-11-09 21:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49%3.4%2026-11-09 21:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.45%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%4.7%2026-11-09 20:34
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.8%2026-11-09 21:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.80%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%5.2%2026-11-09 20:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-11-09 21:05
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-11-09 21:05
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-11-09 21:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%9.2%2026-11-09 20:40
picklebet_au🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.61%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%9.4%2026-11-09 17:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%10.7%2026-11-09 17:55
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%11.0%2026-11-09 21:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.23%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.98%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.79%12.7%2026-11-09 20:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.22%14.8%2026-11-09 20:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.56%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.41%17.4%2026-11-09 20:39

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