A Escola das Odds

Montréal Canadiens v Columbus Blue Jackets

Início: 2026-03-26 23:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Montréal Canadiens (Local)

Previsão 50.47%1.98odd justa
EV -2.60%
Vantagem -1.35%
Kelly -2.79%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%50.74%50.51%52.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.711.871.881.9358.48%53.54%53.33%51.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Columbus Blue Jackets (Visitante)

Previsão 49.53%2.02odd justa
EV +1.05%
Vantagem +0.514%
Kelly +1.01%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.01%49.26%49.49%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.821.941.942.0454.95%51.46%51.55%49.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -8.66%E -4.78%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV +1.05%E +0.514%K +1.01%G +0.011%4.3%2026-03-26 23:05
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -8.66%E -4.78%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV +1.05%E +0.514%K +1.01%G +0.011%4.3%2026-03-26 23:05
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV +0.057%E +0.028%K +0.056%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 22:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.933%E -0.467%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:04
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.933%E -0.467%K -0.933%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 23:05
ReBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -6.13%E -3.30%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -1.43%E -0.718%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 22:59
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -6.13%E -3.30%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -1.92%E -0.972%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:04
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -1.92%E -0.972%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:05
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -1.92%E -0.972%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:05
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -1.92%E -0.972%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:05
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.60%E -1.35%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.42%E -1.23%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-26 23:05
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.64%E -3.59%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.42%E -1.23%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 23:03
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.64%E -3.59%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.42%E -1.23%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 23:04
SportsBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -7.14%E -3.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -2.42%E -1.23%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:04
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.63%E -3.01%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.41%E -1.75%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 23:05
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.64%E -3.59%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.41%E -1.75%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 23:04
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.64%E -3.59%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.41%E -1.75%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 23:03
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.41%E -1.75%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 23:05
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.60%E -1.35%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-26 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.60%E -1.35%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-26 23:05
FanDuel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.12%E -2.72%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:04
DraftKings1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.62%E -2.44%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.40%E -2.28%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:04
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:05
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:05
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:03
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:05
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:05
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:04
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:04
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:04
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:05
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:05
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.11%E -2.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.89%E -3.10%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.72%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.88%E -3.66%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 23:05
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.72%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.88%E -3.66%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 23:05
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.56%EV -13.70%E -8.01%K -19.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.44%EV -9.85%E -5.41%K -12.01%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-26 23:01
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-03-26 23:05
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-26 23:05
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-26 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%1.3%2026-03-26 23:05
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.3%2026-03-26 23:05
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.5%2026-03-26 23:04
ProphetX1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%1.8%2026-03-26 23:05
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-03-26 23:05
BetOpenly1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-03-26 22:59

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%3.4%2026-03-26 23:05
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%3.4%2026-03-26 23:05
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%3.4%2026-03-26 23:05
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%3.4%2026-03-26 23:04
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.95%3.8%2026-03-26 23:04
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.47%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.05%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-03-26 22:59
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.64%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-03-26 23:04
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.12%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.89%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.00%4.7%2026-03-26 22:59
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.07%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%5.6%2026-03-26 23:05
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.07%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%5.6%2026-03-26 23:05
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.07%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%5.6%2026-03-26 23:04
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.07%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%5.6%2026-03-26 23:04
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.19%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.63%6.3%2026-03-26 23:05
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%6.9%2026-03-26 23:05
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%7.3%2026-03-26 23:05
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%8.4%2026-03-26 23:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.96%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%8.8%2026-03-26 22:59
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.96%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%8.8%2026-03-26 22:59
Codere (IT)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.85%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%9.1%2026-03-26 23:00
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%9.2%2026-03-26 23:05
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.64%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%9.4%2026-03-26 23:05
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.82%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.93%9.8%2026-03-26 23:05