L’École des cotes

Montréal Canadiens v Columbus Blue Jackets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-26 23:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Montréal Canadiens (Local)

Prévision 50.47%1.98cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -2.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%50.74%50.51%52.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.871.881.9358.48%53.54%53.33%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Columbus Blue Jackets (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.53%2.02cote équitable
EV +1.05%
Avantage +0.514%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 2.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.01%49.26%49.49%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.821.941.942.0454.95%51.46%51.55%49.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -8.66%E -4.78%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV +1.05%E +0.514%K +1.01%G +0.011%4.3%2026-03-26 23:05
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -8.66%E -4.78%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV +1.05%E +0.514%K +1.01%G +0.011%4.3%2026-03-26 23:05
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV +0.057%E +0.028%K +0.056%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 22:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.933%E -0.467%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:04
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.933%E -0.467%K -0.933%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 23:05
ReBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -6.13%E -3.30%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -1.43%E -0.718%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 22:59
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -6.13%E -3.30%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -1.92%E -0.972%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:04
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -1.92%E -0.972%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:05
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -1.92%E -0.972%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:05
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -1.92%E -0.972%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:05
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.60%E -1.35%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.42%E -1.23%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-26 23:05
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.64%E -3.59%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.42%E -1.23%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 23:03
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.64%E -3.59%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.42%E -1.23%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 23:04
SportsBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -7.14%E -3.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -2.42%E -1.23%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 23:04
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.63%E -3.01%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.41%E -1.75%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 23:05
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.64%E -3.59%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.41%E -1.75%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 23:04
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.64%E -3.59%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.41%E -1.75%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 23:03
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.41%E -1.75%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 23:05
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.60%E -1.35%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-26 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.60%E -1.35%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-26 23:05
FanDuel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.12%E -2.72%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:04
DraftKings1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.62%E -2.44%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.40%E -2.28%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:04
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:05
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:05
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:03
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:05
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:05
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:04
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:04
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:04
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:05
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:05
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.39%E -2.82%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.11%E -2.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.89%E -3.10%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.72%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.88%E -3.66%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 23:05
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.72%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.88%E -3.66%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 23:05
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.56%EV -13.70%E -8.01%K -19.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.44%EV -9.85%E -5.41%K -12.01%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-26 23:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-03-26 23:05
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-26 23:05
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-26 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%1.3%2026-03-26 23:05
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.3%2026-03-26 23:05
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.5%2026-03-26 23:04
ProphetX1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%1.8%2026-03-26 23:05
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-03-26 23:05
BetOpenly1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-03-26 22:59

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%3.4%2026-03-26 23:05
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%3.4%2026-03-26 23:05
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%3.4%2026-03-26 23:05
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%3.4%2026-03-26 23:04
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.95%3.8%2026-03-26 23:04
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.47%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.05%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-03-26 22:59
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.64%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-03-26 23:04
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.12%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.89%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.00%4.7%2026-03-26 22:59
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.07%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%5.6%2026-03-26 23:05
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.07%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%5.6%2026-03-26 23:05
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.07%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%5.6%2026-03-26 23:04
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.07%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%5.6%2026-03-26 23:04
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.19%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.63%6.3%2026-03-26 23:05
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%6.9%2026-03-26 23:05
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%7.3%2026-03-26 23:05
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%8.4%2026-03-26 23:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.96%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%8.8%2026-03-26 22:59
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.96%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%8.8%2026-03-26 22:59
Codere (IT)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.85%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%9.1%2026-03-26 23:00
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%9.2%2026-03-26 23:05
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.64%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%9.4%2026-03-26 23:05
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.82%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.25%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.93%9.8%2026-03-26 23:05