Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.11
assuming max odds 1.84
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montréal Canadiens (Local): 46.69%; Carolina Hurricanes (Visit): 53.31%. For Montréal Canadiens (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.11, with an expected value of -1.48%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -1.48%E -0.702%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -3.51%E -1.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.95%E -0.928%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.64%E -3.19%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.95%E -0.928%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.64%E -3.19%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.95%E -0.928%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.64%E -3.19%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.95%E -0.928%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.64%E -3.19%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.95%E -0.928%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.78%E -4.49%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.95%E -0.928%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.84%E -5.17%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.88%E -1.39%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-24 22:52 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.88%E -1.39%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.35%E -1.62%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.35%E -1.62%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.58%E -2.56%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.82%E -1.85%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 22:56 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.82%E -1.85%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.82%E -1.85%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.64%E -3.19%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.82%E -1.85%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.64%E -3.19%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -1.91%E -1.04%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -1.91%E -1.04%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.64%E -3.19%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.22%E -2.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.22%E -2.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.98%E -1.64%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.18%EV -11.29%E -5.94%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.82%EV -13.11%E -8.04%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-24 22:58 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48% | -0.0% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Novig◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.66% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.34% | 0.0% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 1.5% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 1.9% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.18% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.06% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76% | 3.4% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.18% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.06% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76% | 3.4% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.18% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.06% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76% | 3.4% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.18% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.06% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76% | 3.4% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.08% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.43% | 3.7% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.95% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.16% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89% | 4.0% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.97% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.34% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.70% | 4.5% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.65% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.28% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.03% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04% | 5.5% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25% | 7.0% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.25% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39% | 8.7% | 2026-03-24 23:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.30% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39% | 8.9% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74% | 9.5% | 2026-03-24 22:58 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.07% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.41% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.52% | 9.7% | 2026-03-24 22:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.19% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.58% | 11.3% | 2026-03-24 22:48 |