L’École des cotesMontréal Canadiens v Buffalo Sabres
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Montréal Canadiens (Local)
Prévision 57.26%1.75cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -2.93%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.71
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.00%57.17%57.32%58.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.671.671.7165.36%59.88%59.88%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Buffalo Sabres (Visiteur)
Prévision 42.74%2.34cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.551%
Kelly -0.972%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.98%42.83%42.68%44.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.072.232.252.3148.31%44.87%44.44%43.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.08%E -1.22%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -2.56%E -1.12%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-12 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.08%E -1.22%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.97%E -2.72%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.08%E -1.22%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.97%E -2.72%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| ReBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.66%E -1.56%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.97%E -2.72%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 22:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.23%E -1.91%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.27%E -0.551%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -3.23%E -1.91%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -2.98%E -1.31%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -3.23%E -1.91%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -2.98%E -1.31%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| GTbets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.23%E -1.91%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.84%E -1.71%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| BetAnything | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.23%E -1.91%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.84%E -1.71%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.80%E -2.26%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.26%E -1.90%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 19:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.80%E -2.26%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.26%E -1.90%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 16:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.80%E -2.26%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.12%E -2.31%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 20:45 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.80%E -2.26%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.97%E -2.72%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.80%E -2.26%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.97%E -2.72%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Bovada | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.70%E -0.739%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-12 22:55 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.41%E -1.51%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 22:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.84%E -1.71%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 22:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.84%E -1.71%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 22:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.84%E -1.71%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 16:30 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.84%E -1.71%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.84%E -1.71%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.84%E -1.71%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 22:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.55%E -2.51%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 22:50 |
| Betsson | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.97%E -2.72%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.97%E -2.72%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.97%E -2.72%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 18:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.37%E -2.62%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| betPARX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.95%E -2.98%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.56%E -1.12%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.95%E -2.98%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.56%E -1.12%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.52%E -3.34%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.56%E -1.12%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.52%E -3.34%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.84%E -1.71%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 19:50 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.52%E -3.34%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.84%E -1.71%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 23:05 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.52%E -3.34%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.97%E -2.72%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.52%E -3.34%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.97%E -2.72%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 16:30 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.52%E -3.34%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.97%E -2.72%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.52%E -3.34%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.25%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 22:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.39%E -8.10%K -23.38%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -11.53%E -5.57%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-12 21:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 17:40 |
| Polymarket | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 22:55 |
| ProphetX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.2% | 2026-05-12 23:05 |
| Novig | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-12 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-05-12 22:50 |
| BetOpenly | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 22:05 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.34% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21% | 2.6% | 2026-05-12 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.34% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21% | 2.6% | 2026-05-12 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.34% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21% | 2.6% | 2026-05-12 23:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.34% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21% | 2.6% | 2026-05-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.50% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.99% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.89% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.48% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.05% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 22:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.66% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.24% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.09% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 23:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.89% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 22:50 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.52% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.31% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.17% | 12.1% | 2026-05-12 23:05 |