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Minnesota Wild v Vegas Golden Knights

2026-10-13 00:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Wild (Local)

Prediction 51.33%1.95fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.38%51.16%52.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.861.861.9155.56%53.82%53.76%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vegas Golden Knights (Visit)

Prediction 48.67%2.05fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.77%48.62%48.84%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.961.952.0052.36%51.01%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Minnesota Wild (Local): 51.33%; Vegas Golden Knights (Visit): 48.67%. For Minnesota Wild (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.91, with an expected value of -1.96%; they do not produce positive expected value.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.69%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 16:09
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -2.47%E -1.30%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -5.58%E -2.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 17:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -2.99%E -1.58%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -3.63%E -1.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-11 17:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -2.99%E -1.58%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.84%EV -3.63%E -1.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-11 17:15
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.50%E -1.86%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.07%E -3.14%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 16:44
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 17:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 16:19
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 17:00
Betsson🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.07%E -3.14%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 16:44
NordicBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.07%E -3.14%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 16:44
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.63%E -1.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 16:10
Caesars🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.63%E -1.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 16:19
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 16:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 17:44
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.07%E -3.31%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 16:13
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.07%E -3.31%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.07%E -3.31%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 16:19
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.07%E -3.31%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 17:14
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -6.58%E -3.61%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 16:14
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.04%E -3.69%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-11 17:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-10-11 17:45
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-10-11 16:10
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 51.52%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.48%10.3%2026-10-11 17:15

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.30%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.79%3.0%2026-10-11 17:28
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.33%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.6%2026-10-11 17:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.08%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%6.2%2026-10-11 17:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.00%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.99%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%7.3%2026-10-11 17:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.96%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%8.8%2026-10-11 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.22%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%10.5%2026-10-11 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.06%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.65%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.28%16.1%2026-10-11 17:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.99%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.38%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.63%16.3%2026-10-11 17:19