The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Minnesota Wild v Vegas Golden Knights

Kickoff: 2026-10-13 00:08 UTC

Final: Minnesota Wild 4–2 Vegas Golden Knights

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Wild (Local)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.760%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.83%50.07%50.00%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.901.9755.56%52.71%52.63%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vegas Golden Knights (Visit)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -0.003%
Edge -0.002%
Kelly -0.003%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.93%50.00%51.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.911.912.0055.56%52.37%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Wild (Local): 50.00%; Vegas Golden Knights (Visit): 50.00%. For Vegas Golden Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.0001. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.0000, with an expected value of -0.003%; they did not produce positive expected value.

20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.50%E -0.760%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.50%E -1.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-12 23:55
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-12 23:44
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 23:59
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.00%E -1.54%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 23:49
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.00%E -1.54%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 23:48
Bet Right🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-12 22:39
Everygame🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 18:55
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.35%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 22:40
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.35%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 03:54
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.35%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 23:14
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.35%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 22:39
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.35%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 22:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.35%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 22:39
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.35%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 14:04
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.35%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 17:54
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.35%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.35%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 15:10
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.35%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 15:09
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.35%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 15:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -1.50%E -0.763%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-12 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -1.50%E -0.763%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-12 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 15:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 05:55
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 00:04
ReBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.50%E -4.06%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-13 00:04
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.50%E -4.06%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 23:48
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.50%E -4.06%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 23:48
Caesars🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-12 15:58
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.50%E -1.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 15:09
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.50%E -1.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 23:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-12 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-12 15:09
Neds🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-12 15:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.47%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-13 00:04
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -9.00%E -4.94%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.003%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 23:44
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -9.00%E -4.94%K -10.97%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -0.503%E -0.253%K -0.508%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 23:44
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -9.00%E -4.94%K -10.97%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -0.503%E -0.253%K -0.508%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 23:45
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.00%E -5.55%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.003%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 23:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.00%E -5.55%K -12.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.00%E -5.56%K -12.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-12 23:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-10-13 00:05
ProphetX◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-10-13 00:05
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-10-12 23:25
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-10-12 13:34
BetOpenly◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-10-12 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.3%2026-10-13 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.3%2026-10-13 00:05
Matchbook◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.3%2026-10-13 00:05
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-10-13 00:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 37.54%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-10-12 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.87%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%3.6%2026-10-12 23:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.87%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%3.6%2026-10-12 23:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.87%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.72%3.6%2026-10-12 23:49
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-10-12 17:45
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.49%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.59%4.6%2026-10-12 23:53
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%5.7%2026-10-13 00:05
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.72%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%6.1%2026-10-12 23:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.72%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%6.1%2026-10-12 23:49
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.72%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%6.1%2026-10-12 23:50
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.72%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%6.1%2026-10-12 23:49
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.59%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%6.4%2026-10-12 23:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.67%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%6.9%2026-10-13 00:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-10-12 20:33
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.57%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%8.0%2026-10-13 00:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.89%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%9.1%2026-10-12 23:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%9.2%2026-10-13 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%11.3%2026-10-13 00:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.61%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%15.6%2026-10-12 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.13%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.99%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.88%16.6%2026-10-13 00:04