L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Minnesota Wild v Toronto Maple Leafs
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Minnesota Wild (Local)
Prévision 69.34%1.44cote équitable
EV -2.23%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -5.45%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.41
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.44%69.32%69.32%71.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.381.381.4178.74%72.42%72.46%70.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Toronto Maple Leafs (Visiteur)
Prévision 30.66%3.26cote équitable
EV +1.19%
Avantage +0.359%
Kelly +0.516%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.73%30.68%30.68%32.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.873.093.103.3034.84%32.37%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.359%K +0.516%G +0.006% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 23:35 |
| Everygame | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.31%E -3.13%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.347%E -0.107%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 23:15 |
| Caesars | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -1.27%E -0.394%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-15 16:23 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.63%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.37%EV -1.57%E -0.490%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-15 23:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.31%E -3.13%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.88%E -0.588%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 22:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.31%E -3.13%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 16:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.31%E -3.13%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 23:15 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.31%E -3.13%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 23:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.31%E -3.13%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 23:15 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.31%E -3.13%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 23:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.31%E -3.13%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 23:30 |
| Fliff | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.01%E -3.66%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 23:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%EV -2.23%E -1.58%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%EV -4.03%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-15 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%EV -2.23%E -1.58%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%EV -4.03%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-15 22:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -4.33%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 23:33 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 02:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 14:49 |
| BetUS | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 21:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 14:50 |
| ReBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.13%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 21:34 |
| GTbets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.13%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 18:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.13%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 23:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.95%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 23:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -4.31%E -3.13%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -5.56%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 23:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -7.40%E -2.45%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 23:05 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.59%EV -7.71%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 23:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.59%EV -7.71%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 23:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 23:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 16:30 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 16:30 |
| TAB | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.31%E -3.13%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 23:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 16:34 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.32%EV -11.94%E -9.40%K -44.23%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.68%EV -12.00%E -4.18%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.43I 69.93%NM 70.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.92% | -0.2% | 2026-03-15 23:29 |
| ProphetX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-15 23:30 |
| Novig | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.38% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 23:34 |
| Polymarket | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 23:35 |
| Kalshi | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.7% | 2026-03-15 23:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 2.7% | 2026-03-15 23:35 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.89% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.12% | 3.5% | 2026-03-15 23:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.89% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.12% | 3.5% | 2026-03-15 23:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.89% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.12% | 3.5% | 2026-03-15 23:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.89% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.12% | 3.5% | 2026-03-15 23:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.12% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.38% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 23:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.94% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34% | 4.6% | 2026-03-15 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.21% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.53% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.63% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.83% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 23:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.94% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 23:15 |
| Casumo | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.94% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 23:15 |
| Unibet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.94% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 23:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.94% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.98% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 23:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.86% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83% | 6.7% | 2026-03-15 23:00 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.97% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 23:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.89% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 23:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 23:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 23:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.59% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.09% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 23:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29% | 9.3% | 2026-03-15 23:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.71% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.93% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 23:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51% | 10.7% | 2026-03-15 23:19 |