La scuola delle quote

Minnesota Wild v Tampa Bay Lightning

Inizio: 2026-03-04 02:40 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Minnesota Wild (Casa)

Previsione 44.00%2.27quota equa
EV -1.88%
Vantaggio -0.842%
Kelly -1.53%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.15%44.06%43.96%44.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.162.172.2350.00%46.21%46.08%44.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tampa Bay Lightning (Trasferta)

Previsione 56.00%1.79quota equa
EV -2.56%
Vantaggio -1.47%
Kelly -3.46%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.26%55.94%56.04%56.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.711.711.7463.69%58.63%58.48%57.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

20 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -1.88%E -0.842%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-04 02:00
LowVig.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -2.76%E -1.25%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.12%E -1.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-03 21:30
BetOnline.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -2.76%E -1.25%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.12%E -1.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-03 21:30
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 15:20
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 15:00
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 02:29
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 15:30
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 20:44
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 23:20
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 20:44
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 15:00
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 02:25
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 16:50
Paddy Power2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.08%E -1.87%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 02:25
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.08%E -1.87%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 15:08
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.08%E -1.87%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 19:55
BetAnything2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.52%E -2.08%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.12%E -1.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 02:30
Bet Right2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.52%E -2.08%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.68%E -2.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 02:25
Bally Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.52%E -2.08%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.68%E -2.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 19:30
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.52%E -2.08%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.68%E -2.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 19:30
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.96%E -2.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 19:30
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.96%E -2.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 02:25
MyBookie.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.96%E -2.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 02:29
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 22:15
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 15:20
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 19:40
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 02:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 19:54
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 20:00
NordicBet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.28%E -2.95%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.68%E -2.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 02:25
Betsson2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.28%E -2.95%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.68%E -2.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 02:25
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 02:25
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 02:21
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 19:55
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 19:55
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.98%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -12.08%E -7.69%K -21.19%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-03 23:18
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-03-04 02:25
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%0.6%2026-03-04 02:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-03-04 02:30
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-03-04 01:05
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-04 01:05
ProphetX2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%0.9%2026-03-04 02:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%1.2%2026-03-04 02:30
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%1.9%2026-03-04 02:30

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (20)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.28%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45%3.6%2026-03-03 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.28%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45%3.6%2026-03-03 23:55
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 33.28%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45%3.6%2026-03-04 00:00
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.28%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45%3.6%2026-03-04 00:00
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.38%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88%3.9%2026-03-04 02:30
Marathon Bet2.89I 34.60%NM 33.05%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%4.7%2026-03-04 02:24
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%4.8%2026-03-04 02:09
1xBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.35%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.57%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.08%4.8%2026-03-04 02:25
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.36%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-03-03 19:30
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.36%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-03-03 19:30
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.36%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-03-03 19:30
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.36%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-03-03 19:30
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 33.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%6.1%2026-03-03 19:30
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%6.5%2026-03-03 21:45
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.82%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.29%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%7.5%2026-03-04 02:30
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-03-03 19:30
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%9.2%2026-03-03 23:20
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%9.5%2026-03-03 23:20
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%10.8%2026-03-04 02:29
Unibet (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 33.14%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%10.9%2026-03-04 02:24