A Escola das Odds

Minnesota Wild v Seattle Kraken

Início: 2026-04-08 00:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Minnesota Wild (Local)

Previsão 69.40%1.44odd justa
EV -2.15%
Vantagem -1.52%
Kelly -5.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.44%69.31%69.50%70.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.261.381.381.4179.37%72.39%72.46%70.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Seattle Kraken (Visitante)

Previsão 30.60%3.27odd justa
EV -0.541%
Vantagem -0.166%
Kelly -0.240%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.35%30.69%30.50%32.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.903.083.103.2534.48%32.43%32.26%30.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -2.15%E -1.52%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 00:03
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 69.50%EV -2.84%E -2.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.50%EV -2.38%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-08 00:05
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -2.84%E -2.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV -2.68%E -0.844%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-08 00:04
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -2.84%E -2.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV -2.68%E -0.844%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-08 00:05
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.84%E -2.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.13%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 00:05
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.84%E -2.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.13%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 00:05
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.84%E -2.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.84%E -2.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 00:04
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.84%E -2.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 00:05
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.84%E -2.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 00:04
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.84%E -2.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.72%E -3.30%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 23:59
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.84%E -2.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.25%E -3.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 00:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.84%E -2.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.25%E -3.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 00:05
BetUS1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.54%E -2.55%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 00:05
BetAnything1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.54%E -2.55%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 00:04
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.54%E -2.55%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -5.13%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 23:59
MyBookie.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -3.54%E -2.55%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -7.58%E -2.51%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 00:00
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 00:04
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 00:05
Paddy Power1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 00:04
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 00:04
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 00:04
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 00:04
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.13%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 00:04
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.13%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 00:04
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.71%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.29%EV -7.27%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 00:04
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.71%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.29%EV -7.27%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 00:05
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 00:05
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.07%E -0.647%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 00:04
Caesars1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 00:02
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -4.21%E -1.35%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 00:04
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 23:57
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.13%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 00:04
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 00:01
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 00:05
Fliff1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.31%E -4.68%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.541%E -0.166%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 00:04
NetBet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.71%EV -12.56%E -9.97%K -48.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -11.25%E -3.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-08 00:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.43I 69.93%NM 70.39%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.61%-0.7%2026-04-07 23:59
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-04-08 00:05
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-04-08 00:05
ProphetX1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-04-08 00:05
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-04-08 00:05
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 69.81%3.26I 30.67%NM 30.19%1.6%2026-04-08 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-04-08 00:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-04-08 00:05
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-04-08 00:05

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.21%3.1%2026-04-08 00:04
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.21%3.1%2026-04-08 00:04
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.21%3.1%2026-04-08 00:04
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 59.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.21%3.1%2026-04-08 00:04
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.80%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.29%3.7%2026-04-08 00:04
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.61%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.14%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.26%4.6%2026-04-07 23:59
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%4.6%2026-04-08 00:00
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%4.6%2026-04-08 00:05
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.08%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.68%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%5.1%2026-04-08 00:05
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 59.08%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.68%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%5.1%2026-04-08 00:04
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.08%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.68%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%5.1%2026-04-08 00:05
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.08%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.68%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%5.1%2026-04-08 00:04
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%6.0%2026-04-08 00:04
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%6.7%2026-04-08 00:05
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%7.0%2026-04-08 00:04
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%7.6%2026-04-07 23:59
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%7.7%2026-04-08 00:04
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%8.8%2026-04-08 00:00
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%9.1%2026-04-08 00:05
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%9.4%2026-04-08 00:05
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.37%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.91%10.4%2026-04-08 00:04
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.64%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%12.6%2026-04-08 00:04